Incorporating uncertainty in water resources simulation and assessment tools in South Africa

Hughes, Denis A; Kapangaziwiri, E; Mallory, S J; Wagener, T; Smithers, J

Title: Incorporating uncertainty in water resources simulation and assessment tools in South Africa
Creator: Hughes, Denis A
Creator: Kapangaziwiri, E
Creator: Mallory, S J
Creator: Wagener, T
Creator: Smithers, J
Subject: To be catalogued
Date Issued: 2011
Date: 2011
Type: text
Type: report
Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/438239
Identifier: vital:73445
Identifier: ISBN 978-1-4312-0128-0
Identifier: https://wrcwebsite.azurewebsites.net/wp-content/uploads/mdocs/18381.pdf
Description: The main objective of the project was to contribute to the incorporation of uncer-tainty assessments in water resource decision making in South Africa, thereby quan-tifying the risks associated with specific decisions about planned future water re-source developments. This objective was supported by several specific aims: 1. De-velop an understanding of uncertainty and associated risks in water resource man-agement on the basis of literature and known practices, nationally and internation-ally. 2. Identify and characterise the main sources of uncertainty (focusing on cur-rent South African practice and typical situations of data availability). 3. Develop techniques and guidelines for quantifying the uncertainty associated with different models. This will include uncertainty in all relevant areas (hydrological, climate, economic, social, etc.). 4. Determine the effects of uncertainty on water resource management and identify what level of uncertainty is acceptable. 5. Develop guide-lines for the communication of uncertainty and the impacts to various stakeholder groups involved within water resource planning and management. This aim will need to address the issue of the links between uncertainty and risk. 6. Develop guidelines for incorporating uncertainty and the associated risk into water resource decision making processes. 7. Identify those areas of uncertainty that can be realistically re-duced and which will have the greatest impact on reducing the risks involved with water resource decision making.
Format: 149 pages
Format: pdf
Publisher: Water Research Commission
Language: English
Relation: Hughes, D.A., Kapangaziwiri, E., Mallory, S.J., Wagener, T. and Smithers, J., 2011. Incorporating uncertainty in water resources simulation and assessment tools in South Africa. Water Research Commission Report, (1838/1), p.11
Rights: Publisher
Rights: Use of this resource is governed by the terms and conditions of the Water Research Commission Terms and Conditions of Use Statement (https://www.gov.za/terms-and-conditions-use-0)

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