- Title
- Subjective measurements of persistence of time series
- Creator
- Poswayo, Sihle
- Subject
- Time-series analysis
- Subject
- Space and time Time -- Philosophy
- Date Issued
- 2018
- Date
- 2018
- Type
- Thesis
- Type
- Masters
- Type
- MSc
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/10948/34372
- Identifier
- vital:33361
- Description
- In this paper we suggest the use of subjective judgements to measure persistence in time series by comparing pairs of graphs with different Hurst exponents. The group of respondents consisted of 40 volunteers who were asked to identify the more jagged out of two graphs presented to them (that is, less persistent). The respondents were approached as a group and requested to work independently in the completion of ques- tionnaires administered to them. The respondents were supervised by the researchers. The graphs were simulated using time series package of Mathematica R [26]. The re- sponses were processed using an algorithm based on the Thurstone-Mosteller model for paired comparisons [29]. The results of the analysis show that the human eye is capable of distinguishing graphs of time series with Hurst exponent difference as small as only 0.02.
- Format
- x, 83 leaves
- Format
- Publisher
- Nelson Mandela University
- Publisher
- Faculty of Science
- Language
- English
- Rights
- Nelson Mandela University
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