Evaluating elephant, Loxodonta africana, space-use and elephant-linked vegetation change in Liwonde National Park, Malawi
- Authors: Evers, Emma Else Maria
- Date: 2024-04
- Subjects: Elephants -- Nutrition -- Malawi , Ecological heterogeneity , Vegetation and climate
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/63744 , vital:73594
- Description: Heterogeneity, the spatio-temporal variation of abiotic and biotic factors, is a key concept that underpins many ecological phenomena and promotes biodiversity. Ecosystem engineers, such as African savanna elephants (hereafter elephant), Loxodonta africana, are organisms capable of affecting heterogeneity through the creation or modification of habitats. Thus, their impacts can have important consequences for ecosystem biodiversity, both positive and negative. Caughley’s “elephant problem” cautions that confined or compressed, growing elephant populations will inevitably lead to a loss of biodiversity. However, a shift in our understanding of elephants suggests that not all elephant impacts lead to negative biodiversity consequences, as long as there is a heterogeneous spread of elephant impacts that allows for spatio-temporal refuges promoting the persistence of both impact-tolerant and impact-intolerant species. To date, little empirical evidence is available in support of managing elephants under this paradigm and few studies are available that infer the consequences of the distribution of elephant impacts on biodiversity. In addition, most studies use parametric statistics that do not account for scale, spatial autocorrelation, or non-stationarity, leading to a misrepresentation of the underlying processes and patterns of drivers of elephant space-use and the consequences of their impacts on biodiversity. Here, I evaluate spatio-temporal patterns and drivers of elephant space-use, and how the distribution of their impacts affects biodiversity through vegetation changes, using a multi-scaled spatial approach, in Liwonde National Park, Malawi. My study demonstrates that elephant space-use in Liwonde is heterogeneous, leading to spatio-temporal variation in the distribution of their impacts, even in a small, fenced reserve. The importance of the drivers of this heterogeneous space-use varied based on the scale of analysis, water was generally important at larger scales while vegetation quality (indexed by NDVI) was more important at smaller scales. When examined using local models, my results suggest that relationships exhibit non-stationarity, what is important in one area of the park is not necessarily important in other areas. The spatio-temporal variation of the inferred impacts of elephants in Liwonde still allowed for spatio-temporal refuges to be created, no clear linear relationship was found between elephant return intervals and woody species structural and functional diversity (indexed by changes in tree cover and changes in annual regrowth using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index as a measure, respectively) throughout the park. My study provides support for adopting the heterogeneity paradigm for managing elephants and demonstrates that not all elephant impacts result in negative vegetation change. I also demonstrate the crucial implications of accounting for scale, non-stationarity, and spatial autocorrelation to evaluate how animals both respond to, and contribute to, environmental heterogeneity. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, School of Environmental Sciences, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-04
- Authors: Evers, Emma Else Maria
- Date: 2024-04
- Subjects: Elephants -- Nutrition -- Malawi , Ecological heterogeneity , Vegetation and climate
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/63744 , vital:73594
- Description: Heterogeneity, the spatio-temporal variation of abiotic and biotic factors, is a key concept that underpins many ecological phenomena and promotes biodiversity. Ecosystem engineers, such as African savanna elephants (hereafter elephant), Loxodonta africana, are organisms capable of affecting heterogeneity through the creation or modification of habitats. Thus, their impacts can have important consequences for ecosystem biodiversity, both positive and negative. Caughley’s “elephant problem” cautions that confined or compressed, growing elephant populations will inevitably lead to a loss of biodiversity. However, a shift in our understanding of elephants suggests that not all elephant impacts lead to negative biodiversity consequences, as long as there is a heterogeneous spread of elephant impacts that allows for spatio-temporal refuges promoting the persistence of both impact-tolerant and impact-intolerant species. To date, little empirical evidence is available in support of managing elephants under this paradigm and few studies are available that infer the consequences of the distribution of elephant impacts on biodiversity. In addition, most studies use parametric statistics that do not account for scale, spatial autocorrelation, or non-stationarity, leading to a misrepresentation of the underlying processes and patterns of drivers of elephant space-use and the consequences of their impacts on biodiversity. Here, I evaluate spatio-temporal patterns and drivers of elephant space-use, and how the distribution of their impacts affects biodiversity through vegetation changes, using a multi-scaled spatial approach, in Liwonde National Park, Malawi. My study demonstrates that elephant space-use in Liwonde is heterogeneous, leading to spatio-temporal variation in the distribution of their impacts, even in a small, fenced reserve. The importance of the drivers of this heterogeneous space-use varied based on the scale of analysis, water was generally important at larger scales while vegetation quality (indexed by NDVI) was more important at smaller scales. When examined using local models, my results suggest that relationships exhibit non-stationarity, what is important in one area of the park is not necessarily important in other areas. The spatio-temporal variation of the inferred impacts of elephants in Liwonde still allowed for spatio-temporal refuges to be created, no clear linear relationship was found between elephant return intervals and woody species structural and functional diversity (indexed by changes in tree cover and changes in annual regrowth using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index as a measure, respectively) throughout the park. My study provides support for adopting the heterogeneity paradigm for managing elephants and demonstrates that not all elephant impacts result in negative vegetation change. I also demonstrate the crucial implications of accounting for scale, non-stationarity, and spatial autocorrelation to evaluate how animals both respond to, and contribute to, environmental heterogeneity. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, School of Environmental Sciences, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-04
Assessing the impact of access to climate services on smallholder farmers cropping decisions and household food security in Elundini Municipality, Eastern Cape province
- Authors: Nocezo, Yanga-Inkosi
- Date: 2023-11
- Subjects: Food security -- Climatic factors , Vegetation and climate , Crops and climate
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10353/28882 , vital:75366
- Description: Climate variability has significant implications for crop production and overall food security. Climate services which provide tailored and localised climate information have the potential to enhance farmers understanding of climate patterns and support informed decision making. The purpose of the study was to assess the impact of climate services on smallholder farmers cropping decisions and household food security. The study adopted a cross sectional household survey on 217 smallholder crop farming households from Elundini Municipality. Structured questionnaires and face to face interviews were used to collect the required data from the farmers. Descriptive analysis was used to identify the types of climate service accessed by smallholder crop farmers in the study area. The probit model was used to examine factors influencing smallholder crop farmers access to specific climate services. The household dietary diversity score was used to measure household food security among smallholder crop farmers. The propensity score matching model was used to assess the impact of accessing specific climate services on cropping decisions and household food security. The results indicated that most farmers 77 percent in the study area had access to climate services. The results further showed that many farmers had access to short term weather forecast 79 percent with very few accessing seasonal forecast 22 percent. The results also revealed that access to both short term weather and seasonal forecasts is positively influenced by ownership of mobile phones and access to extension services. Similarly access to short term weather forecasts is positively influenced by age monthly income ownership of radio timely climate information and perceiving that climate change has negative effects on crop production. Land size knowledge of climate change and climate services accuracy are positive and significant factors influencing access to seasonal forecasts. Most of the smallholder farming households in the study area had higher dietary diversity scores 66 percent. Moreover access to short term weather and seasonal forecasts has a positive and significant impact on cropping decisions and household dietary diversity scores. The study concludes that climate services improve cropping decisions and household food security among smallholder crop farmers in Elundini Municipality. The study recommends that there should be investments in awareness programmes that will educate farmers about the importance of climate services and how to acquire and interpret both weather and seasonal forecasts. Stakeholders interested in improving smallholder farmers access to climate services should consider whether farmers own smart phones and have access to extension services arable land knowledge of climate change and if the climate services are accurate for smallholder farmers. In addition to improve crop production and household food security in the face of climate change access to climate services by smallholder farmers should be considered. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science and Agriculture, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-11
- Authors: Nocezo, Yanga-Inkosi
- Date: 2023-11
- Subjects: Food security -- Climatic factors , Vegetation and climate , Crops and climate
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10353/28882 , vital:75366
- Description: Climate variability has significant implications for crop production and overall food security. Climate services which provide tailored and localised climate information have the potential to enhance farmers understanding of climate patterns and support informed decision making. The purpose of the study was to assess the impact of climate services on smallholder farmers cropping decisions and household food security. The study adopted a cross sectional household survey on 217 smallholder crop farming households from Elundini Municipality. Structured questionnaires and face to face interviews were used to collect the required data from the farmers. Descriptive analysis was used to identify the types of climate service accessed by smallholder crop farmers in the study area. The probit model was used to examine factors influencing smallholder crop farmers access to specific climate services. The household dietary diversity score was used to measure household food security among smallholder crop farmers. The propensity score matching model was used to assess the impact of accessing specific climate services on cropping decisions and household food security. The results indicated that most farmers 77 percent in the study area had access to climate services. The results further showed that many farmers had access to short term weather forecast 79 percent with very few accessing seasonal forecast 22 percent. The results also revealed that access to both short term weather and seasonal forecasts is positively influenced by ownership of mobile phones and access to extension services. Similarly access to short term weather forecasts is positively influenced by age monthly income ownership of radio timely climate information and perceiving that climate change has negative effects on crop production. Land size knowledge of climate change and climate services accuracy are positive and significant factors influencing access to seasonal forecasts. Most of the smallholder farming households in the study area had higher dietary diversity scores 66 percent. Moreover access to short term weather and seasonal forecasts has a positive and significant impact on cropping decisions and household dietary diversity scores. The study concludes that climate services improve cropping decisions and household food security among smallholder crop farmers in Elundini Municipality. The study recommends that there should be investments in awareness programmes that will educate farmers about the importance of climate services and how to acquire and interpret both weather and seasonal forecasts. Stakeholders interested in improving smallholder farmers access to climate services should consider whether farmers own smart phones and have access to extension services arable land knowledge of climate change and if the climate services are accurate for smallholder farmers. In addition to improve crop production and household food security in the face of climate change access to climate services by smallholder farmers should be considered. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science and Agriculture, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-11
Patterns and determinants of species richness in mesic temparate grasslands of South Africa
- Authors: Hoare, David Barry
- Date: 2009
- Subjects: Grassland ecology -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Plant diversity -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Vegetation and climate
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10613 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/1275 , Grassland ecology -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Plant diversity -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Vegetation and climate
- Description: The aim of this study is to gain a predictive understanding of the patterns and determinants of plant biodiversity in temperate, mesic grasslands of South Africa with a primary focus on the geographical area of the Eastern Cape. From a review of the literature on hypotheses explaining diversity (Chapter 2) it was possible to formulate a number of hypotheses that could be tested to explain species richness patterns in Eastern Cape grasslands. This thesis is organised so that each main chapter deals with a specific body of theory concerning the explanation of diversity patterns. A detailed description of the study area is provided (Chapter 3), including environmental variation and a description of major vegetation patterns. A summary is provided of grassland plant community patterns, as determined by phytosociological studies in the study area. A multivariate analysis of environmental variables was undertaken to determine which variables contributed the most towards explaining environmental variation in the study area and to determine whether any variables co-vary, a possible problem for any multivariate analysis in later chapters. Altitude produced one of the strongest gradients in the study area. There were a number of variables that were correlated with altitude, most notably temperature. Rainfall co-varied partially with altitude, but there was also a strong rainfall gradient perpendicular to the altitude gradient. A description of species richness, diversity and evenness patterns at the plot scale within different grassland plant communities of the Eastern Cape is provided in Chapter 4. To determine whether the environment acts differently on different growth forms, the contribution to species richness by different major growth forms is analysed. Furthermore, since the majority of literature attempts to explain diversity in terms of environmental factors, it was necessary to analyse the relationship between species richness and various environmental variables. The results indicate that there is high variation in species richness both within and among grassland communities. Forbs make the most significant contribution to overall species richness per 100 m2, followed by grasses. Variance in richness of all species together is not significantly related to environmental variables in mesic grasslands, but is significantly related to environmental variables in semi-arid grasslands. The result of greatest interest from this chapter is the fact that richness amongst different life-forms in the same place is explained by different environmental factors, indicating that the environmental factors that affect coexistence of species have a different effect on different life-forms. A classification of all the species of the dataset into plant functional types using a multivariate approach based on functional traits was conducted (Chapter 5). The grass species were classified into 16 functional types and the forbs into 14 functional types. The functional type classification provided the opportunity for undertaking analyses to develop an understanding of 8 the contribution by niche differentiation towards promoting species richness (Chapter 6). The results provide evidence of niche differentiation in the grasslands of the study area and also that niche differentiation promotes species richness in the grasslands of the study area. It was found that higher rainfall grasslands are less structured by niche differentiation than semi-arid grasslands. A regional / historical analysis is undertaken (Chapter 7) to investigate the relationship between the regional species pool and local richness, and the relationship between local richness and phytochorological diversity. Regional richness appears to have little effect in promoting local richness in grassland plant communities of the study area except at sites where there is high local richness. This provides an indication that regional richness only promotes local richness in the absence of local limiting factors. Phytochorological diversity promotes local richness, but mostly through diversity amongst species with narrow distribution ranges. Some theories ascertain that seasonal uncertainty may provide opportunities to species that would otherwise be outcompeted and thereby promote local richness. The degree to which seasonal uncertainty and seasonality promote local richness in the Eastern Cape grasslands was therefore investigated (Chapter 8). A weak relationship exists between these variables and local species richness in grassland communities of the study area, indicating that they do not promote niche differentiation to a significant degree in the study area. It is clear that in the grasslands of the Eastern Cape, environmental limiting factors are more important in semi-arid grasslands and species interactions are more important in mesic grasslands for structuring plant communities (Chapter 9, Discussion). Regional processes do not appear to be important in structuring local communities, but the analysis undertaken in this study shows that they may be significant when factors operating at the other two levels are overcome (species interactions and environmental limiting factors.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2009
- Authors: Hoare, David Barry
- Date: 2009
- Subjects: Grassland ecology -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Plant diversity -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Vegetation and climate
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10613 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/1275 , Grassland ecology -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Plant diversity -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Vegetation and climate
- Description: The aim of this study is to gain a predictive understanding of the patterns and determinants of plant biodiversity in temperate, mesic grasslands of South Africa with a primary focus on the geographical area of the Eastern Cape. From a review of the literature on hypotheses explaining diversity (Chapter 2) it was possible to formulate a number of hypotheses that could be tested to explain species richness patterns in Eastern Cape grasslands. This thesis is organised so that each main chapter deals with a specific body of theory concerning the explanation of diversity patterns. A detailed description of the study area is provided (Chapter 3), including environmental variation and a description of major vegetation patterns. A summary is provided of grassland plant community patterns, as determined by phytosociological studies in the study area. A multivariate analysis of environmental variables was undertaken to determine which variables contributed the most towards explaining environmental variation in the study area and to determine whether any variables co-vary, a possible problem for any multivariate analysis in later chapters. Altitude produced one of the strongest gradients in the study area. There were a number of variables that were correlated with altitude, most notably temperature. Rainfall co-varied partially with altitude, but there was also a strong rainfall gradient perpendicular to the altitude gradient. A description of species richness, diversity and evenness patterns at the plot scale within different grassland plant communities of the Eastern Cape is provided in Chapter 4. To determine whether the environment acts differently on different growth forms, the contribution to species richness by different major growth forms is analysed. Furthermore, since the majority of literature attempts to explain diversity in terms of environmental factors, it was necessary to analyse the relationship between species richness and various environmental variables. The results indicate that there is high variation in species richness both within and among grassland communities. Forbs make the most significant contribution to overall species richness per 100 m2, followed by grasses. Variance in richness of all species together is not significantly related to environmental variables in mesic grasslands, but is significantly related to environmental variables in semi-arid grasslands. The result of greatest interest from this chapter is the fact that richness amongst different life-forms in the same place is explained by different environmental factors, indicating that the environmental factors that affect coexistence of species have a different effect on different life-forms. A classification of all the species of the dataset into plant functional types using a multivariate approach based on functional traits was conducted (Chapter 5). The grass species were classified into 16 functional types and the forbs into 14 functional types. The functional type classification provided the opportunity for undertaking analyses to develop an understanding of 8 the contribution by niche differentiation towards promoting species richness (Chapter 6). The results provide evidence of niche differentiation in the grasslands of the study area and also that niche differentiation promotes species richness in the grasslands of the study area. It was found that higher rainfall grasslands are less structured by niche differentiation than semi-arid grasslands. A regional / historical analysis is undertaken (Chapter 7) to investigate the relationship between the regional species pool and local richness, and the relationship between local richness and phytochorological diversity. Regional richness appears to have little effect in promoting local richness in grassland plant communities of the study area except at sites where there is high local richness. This provides an indication that regional richness only promotes local richness in the absence of local limiting factors. Phytochorological diversity promotes local richness, but mostly through diversity amongst species with narrow distribution ranges. Some theories ascertain that seasonal uncertainty may provide opportunities to species that would otherwise be outcompeted and thereby promote local richness. The degree to which seasonal uncertainty and seasonality promote local richness in the Eastern Cape grasslands was therefore investigated (Chapter 8). A weak relationship exists between these variables and local species richness in grassland communities of the study area, indicating that they do not promote niche differentiation to a significant degree in the study area. It is clear that in the grasslands of the Eastern Cape, environmental limiting factors are more important in semi-arid grasslands and species interactions are more important in mesic grasslands for structuring plant communities (Chapter 9, Discussion). Regional processes do not appear to be important in structuring local communities, but the analysis undertaken in this study shows that they may be significant when factors operating at the other two levels are overcome (species interactions and environmental limiting factors.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2009
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