- Title
- Revenue, Trade and Welfare Implications of the BRICS Free Trade Agreement on South Africa
- Creator
- Mayende, Nosiphiwo Andisa
- Subject
- Gross domestic product -- Statistics -- South Africa
- Subject
- International business enterprises -- Developing countries
- Date Issued
- 2020
- Date
- 2020
- Type
- Thesis
- Type
- Masters
- Type
- MCom
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/10948/50316
- Identifier
- vital:42105
- Description
- The analysis presented in the study is based on the World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS)/Software Market analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART) was used to assess the impacts of the BRICS free trade area (FTA) on South Africa’s revenue, trade and welfare. The findings of the study show that the BRICS FTA is expected to increase imports into South Africa from China, India, Brazil and Russia by $188 million, $469.6 million, $145 million and $19.7 million, respectively. In the same vein, the country is expected to have trade diversion totalling $886.86 million which are largely caused by China with $564.7 million dollars. The combined effects of trade creation and trade diversion, that is, total imports, is expected to lead $1.7 billion in imports surge as a result of BRICS FTA. With regard to the revenue effect, the WITS/SMART simulations indicate that South Africa will have a total fiscal revenue loss of US$1.926 billion if the BRICS FTA is implemented. Major losers include motor vehicles with a loss of US$235.6 million, footwear with US$168.6 million, garments with a loss of US$97 million and textile materials with a loss of $96 million. Overall, South Africa’s exports are expected to increase by $354 million thanks to the BRICS FTA. From the above analysis it is apparent that South Africa will both lose and benefit by joining the BRICS.
- Format
- 21 leaves
- Format
- Publisher
- Nelson Mandela University
- Publisher
- Faculty of Business and Economic Sciences
- Language
- English
- Rights
- Nelson Mandela University
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| Thumbnail | File | Description | Size | Format | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| View Details Download | SOURCE1 | Mayende, A.pdf | 247 KB | Adobe Acrobat PDF | View Details Download |