- Title
- Possible futures for the African built environment towards 2050
- Creator
- Adendorff, Gillian Lorraine
- Subject
- Port Elizabeth (South Africa)
- Subject
- Eastern Cape (South Africa)
- Subject
- South Africa
- Date Issued
- 2014-04
- Date
- 2014-04
- Type
- Master's/Doctoral theses
- Type
- text
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/10948/53325
- Identifier
- vital:45136
- Description
- Purpose –The purpose of this thesis is to develop four scenarios for Africa’s built environment over the nextfortyyears: The ”Angel” or “Good Governance”Scenario,in which positive elements become a realisation for Africa’s built environment and are conjointly favourable; The “Dwarf” or “Uneven African Development”Scenario, in which key driving forces unfold inan uneven pattern, or have a differentiated impact on Africa’s built environment; The “Elf” or Bad Governance Scenario,in which less good governance prevails, but where a fortunate built environment and securemanagement allowsAfrica to become competitive and benefit from satisfactory economic growth;and The “Hobgoblin” or “Business and Governance as usual” Scenario,in which negative regional drivers of change corrode positive policies and initiatives in a manner which compounds the pre-existing threats of Africa’s built environment development.Design/Methodology/Approach –The goal of this thesis is not only to affirm what is already known and knowable regardingwhat is happening right now at the intersections of Africa and its built environment development, but also to explore the many ways in which environmental scanning and built environment development could co-involve,both push and inhibit each other,in the future. Thereafter, this thesis beginsto examine what possible paths may be implicatedfor Africa’s poor and vulnerable built environment. Scenario planning is a methodology designed to help researchers, organisations and even nations alike through this creative process. This thesis begins to identifydriversof change, and then combines these driversin different ways to create a set of scenarios regardinghow the future built environment of Africa could evolve.Practical implications –This thesis provides a useful insight regardingdrivers for change for Africa’s built environment,and how to anticipate these changes in the mostcurrentScenario planning.Originality/Value –This thesis addressesthe future of Africa’s built environment from a decision maker’s point of view over the next 40 years.
- Description
- Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Engineering, the Built Environment and Technology, School of the Built Environment and Civil Engineering, 2021
- Format
- computer
- Format
- online resource
- Format
- application/pdf
- Format
- 1 online resource (475 pages)
- Format
- Publisher
- Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University
- Publisher
- Faculty of...
- Language
- English
- Rights
- Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University
- Rights
- All Rights Reserved
- Rights
- Open Access
- Hits: 2444
- Visitors: 2435
- Downloads: 85
Collections
NMU School of the Built Environment
| Thumbnail | File | Description | Size | Format | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| View Details Download | SOURCE1 | FINAL - POSSIBLE FUTURES FOR THE AFRICAN BUILT ENVIRONMENT TOWARDS 2050.pdf | 7 MB | Adobe Acrobat PDF | View Details Download |