- Title
- Portfolio effect and bet-hedging adaptations in sea turtles
- Creator
- Hoekstra, Shaun
- Subject
- Wildlife conservation
- Subject
- Sea turtles -- South Africa
- Subject
- Animal behavior
- Date Issued
- 2024-12
- Date
- 2024-12
- Type
- Master's theses
- Type
- text
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/10948/68873
- Identifier
- vital:77153
- Description
- A great proportion of marine species are at risk of going extinct as a result of profound changes in the world’s oceans, primarily driven by human activities. Sea turtles are not exempt from this fate. Despite sea turtles being exposed to a range of environmental conditions and threats that vary in frequency and intensity, these ancient marine reptiles have persisted for millennia. In the past, sea turtles have been able to adapt to natural perturbations while other animal groups have not. The ability of sea turtles to adapt to contemporary changes in conditions, produced by human activities, has become limited. The persistence of sea turtles may be explained by the application of a concept termed “portfolio effect”. An aggregate system is more stable and less prone to fluctuations over time (i.e. portfolio effect) if a diversity of finer components comprises the entire system and displays asynchronous fluctuations over time. Biological entities (e.g. species measured by the abundance trend) may achieve long-term stability even though the individual components (e.g. populations measured in abundance trend) display weak or negative correlations with each other in space and time. Different sea turtle populations may display independent trends in abundances over time, resulting in a portfolio effect at species levels. Trends in sea turtle abundances may be affected by individual behaviour. The adoption of bet-hedging adaptations may enable populations to thrive despite environmental changes or stochasticity, by lowering short-term fitness in exchange for maximising long-term fitness. Individual sea turtles may exhibit bet-hedging adaptations through changes in their temporal nesting behaviour, including the remigration interval. Since remigration interval length regulates the number of nesting females per nesting season, changes in remigration interval will affect abundance trends. The ability of individuals to change their remigration interval allows them to “skip” the breeding migration when environmental conditions seem unfavourable. The overall aim of this thesis was to investigate potential reasons for observed sea turtle abundance trends at species, population, and rookery levels. I tested whether the portfolio effect applies to sea turtles by analysing and interpreting spatiotemporal trends in loggerhead (Caretta caretta) and leatherback (Dermochelys coriacea) abundances at the population and species levels using global datasets. The application of bet-hedging strategies was tested at a local level using data from the long-term monitoring program for South African nesting sea turtles. The majority of loggerhead rookeries displayed an increase in abundance over time, while most leatherback rookeries declined (Chapter 2). Population growth rates also differed among rookeries within Regional Management Units (RMUs) (Chapter 2). This diversity in abundance trends among rookeries suggested spatiotemporal variation in environmental conditions, threats and/or level of protection accompanying sea turtles. The species-level growth rate for both species displayed an overall increase in abundance over time. However, larger (more turtles) leatherback rookeries/RMUs experienced more rapid declines in abundance compared to smaller rookeries/RMUs, resulting in a recent species-level decline. Uncorrelated trends in abundances at the RMU-level could have stabilised species-level trends. Differences in the remigration intervals as a possible bet-hedging adaptation could potentially explain differences in population recovery rates between South Africa’s loggerhead and leatherback sea turtles (Chapter 3), but found no evidence that individuals from either species exhibit bet-hedging adaptations. Loggerheads, however, have increased their remigration intervals over time, while leatherbacks have not. These increases were accompanied by declines in adult body size (previously established) which could be an effect of diminishing foraging area quality. The increased remigration interval shown by loggerheads may be a response rather than an adaptation to the prevailing environmental conditions that impact their food supply in their foraging areas. The population growth rate of leatherback sea turtles may surpass that of the loggerheads in the near future, although there is a global decline in abundance (Chapter 2). This dissertation provides information on possible reasons for observed trends in sea turtle abundances at various levels of biological organisation. While a variety of factors have the potential to influence trends in sea turtle abundance, the possible occurrence of portfolio effects and investigating nesting behaviour may resolve any uncertainties regarding the reasons for observed trends in abundance.
- Description
- Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, School of Environmental Sciences, 2024
- Format
- computer
- Format
- online resource
- Format
- application/pdf
- Format
- 1 online resource (253 pages)
- Format
- Publisher
- Nelson Mandela University
- Publisher
- Faculty of Science
- Language
- English
- Rights
- Nelson Mandela University
- Rights
- All Rights Reserved
- Rights
- Open Access
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| Thumbnail | File | Description | Size | Format | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| View Details Download | SOURCE1 | HOEKSTRA, SP.pdf | 16 MB | Adobe Acrobat PDF | View Details Download |