- Title
- Determining the effects of debt-to-GDP ratio on the economic growth of Greece, Italy and South Africa
- Creator
- Mowoe, Merioboroghene Oreoluwa
- Subject
- Debts, Public -- Greece
- Subject
- Debts, Public -- Italy Debts, Public -- South Africa Economic development Greece -- Economic conditions Italy -- Economic conditions South Africa -- Economic conditions
- Date Issued
- 2019
- Date
- 2019
- Type
- Thesis
- Type
- Masters
- Type
- MCom
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/10948/41942
- Identifier
- vital:36611
- Description
- A major challenge that most countries currently face, is to bring their economies out of indebtedness. In this study, the impact of public debt on the economic growth of Greece, Italy, and South Africa, and any similarities between them, was analysed. Two models were adopted for this purpose, the ARDL model and the VEC model. The ARDL was used to conduct a co-integration relationship between public debts, economic growth, with four controlled variables: inflation, government spending, net export, and investment. The results showed a negative co-integrating relationship for all three countries. In addition, the VEC model was adopted to determine whether there was causation between public debt and economic growth in each of the three countries. It was found that a unidirectional causality between public debt and economic growth exists for all three countries. For Greece, a long-run causality was found moving from economic growth to public debt. For Italy, short-run and long-run causalities were found, moving from economic growth to public debt. For South Africa, both a long-run and a short-run causality were found moving from public debt to economic growth. The economic growth and development policies for reducing the public debt of these countries, are recommended in accordance with the findings of the research results.
- Format
- xi, 123 leaves
- Format
- Publisher
- Nelson Mandela University
- Publisher
- Faculty of Business and Economic Sciences
- Language
- English
- Rights
- Nelson Mandela University
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