- Title
- The importance of demographic trends in forecasting energy demand for private households in South africa
- Creator
- Thubeni,Sinethemba Morine
- Subject
- Electric power consumption -- South Africa -- Forecasting Households -- South Africa
- Subject
- Demography -- Economic aspects -- South Africa
- Date Issued
- 2015
- Date
- 2015
- Type
- Thesis
- Type
- Masters
- Type
- MSc
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/10948/45322
- Identifier
- vital:38570
- Description
- South Africa’s residential energy use is expected to grow at approximately the same rate as the population. Efficient planning for energy demand by energy suppliers is therefore, essential since shortage of energy will negatively affect economic growth.This paper aims to investigate the causal relationship between population and house-hold energy demand on coal, gas, paraffin and wood for private households in South Africa. The adjusted R2, AIC (Akaike information criterion), the BIC (Bayesian information criterion) and standard deviation of residuals were used to investigate which model is the best to predict energy demand in each province using all available information. The results show that population and household energy demand are associated with each other. The findings imply that the causality between population growth and household energy demand is bidirectional in most cases.
- Format
- 65 leaves
- Format
- Publisher
- Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University
- Publisher
- Faculty of Science
- Language
- English
- Rights
- Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University
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Collections
NMU School of Computer Science, Mathematics, Physics and Statistics
| Thumbnail | File | Description | Size | Format | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| View Details Download | SOURCE1 | Sinethemba Thubeni.pdf | 779 KB | Adobe Acrobat PDF | View Details Download |