Vulnerability in surf tourism: surf break decline and its impact on Herold's Bay, South Africa
- Authors: Schröder, Klaus
- Date: 2019
- Subjects: Surfing -- South Africa , Tourism -- Environmental aspects Climatic changes -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/43501 , vital:36900
- Description: Surfing has increasingly become a mainstream and demographically diverse activity that holds substantial economic worth. It also holds substantial social, cultural and spiritual value for participants and related communities. It is therefore not surprising that the maintenance of surf breaks has become an important element of coastal tourism, and that tourism management has had a growing concern with anthropogenic impacts on the shoreline. In line with these developments, this study investigates the vulnerability of surf tourism given the general consensus that there has been a human-induced decline of the river-mouth surf break in Herold’s Bay. An adapted ecological services model is used, and in line with such models, the status of the three types of capital (natural (physical) capital, climatic capital, and built capital) and their effect on recreation capital (surfing’s participation, market, and non-market values) over a twenty-year period is tracked. The findings identified alterations to the river bed morphology, beach morphology, wind direction, and swell intensity and frequency as the main determinants in surf break decline. The corresponding increase in vulnerability of Herold’s Bay’s surf tourism industry is also given as having negative socio-economic impacts. This study has underlined both the potential and the imperative to conserve, utilise and develop surf breaks and the surf tourism industry within South Africa.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2019
Warthog as an introduced species in the Eastern Cape
- Authors: Nyafu, Kanyisa
- Date: 2009
- Subjects: Warthog -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: vital:10701 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/1058 , Warthog -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Description: The introduced common warthog, Phacochoerus africanus, in the Eastern Cape is increasing rapidly both in numbers and distribution, despite attempts by landowners to reduce numbers and exclude warthogs. These control attempts are motivated by concerns over the impacts of warthogs, on vegetation, soil and other animal species. This expansion of warthog populations is paradoxical given that a species of warthog occurred historically in this part of the world, apparently at low densities and was wiped out in the mid-1800s. The question therefore arises as to why warthogs are able to overcome population regulation attempts now, and this becomes an invasive species issue as the species now occurring in the Eastern Cape is in fact an introduced species. The objectives of the study were to investigate the status of warthogs as an introduced invasive species in the Eastern Cape by documenting the rate and direction of population expansion, ecological impacts and possible dietary shift of the introduced species, P. africanus compared to the extinct species P. aethiopicus. The research approach adapted here was to test the hypotheses that, (1) the success of P. africanus in the Eastern Cape reflects dietary differences of the two species based on observations of different dental adaptations, as P. africanus has functional incisors, which are absent in P. aethiopicus. Stable carbon isotope analysis of the tooth enamel was used to determine the diet of the two species. (2) Common warthogs are specialized grazers and will impact on a limited range of grass species, this hypothesis was addressed by describing the diet of common warthogs in one site in the Eastern Cape to identify plant species at risk due to invasion by P. africanus, and microhistological faecal analysis was used. (3) Common warthogs have successfully expanded their range in the Eastern Cape since their introduction and are now showing impact, this was addressed by describing the range of expansion of P. africanus in the Eastern Cape, as well as reviewing landowner perceptions of the impacts of warthogs, this was based on questionnaire surveys distributed in the Sundays and the Fish River valleys. The results of the study showed that there are differences in the diet of Cape warthog P. aethiopicus and common warthog P. africanus. The Cape warthog was largely a grazer (86 percent C4 grasses in their diet), while P. africanus is also a grazer (71 percent of C4 grasses in their diet), but with a larger proportion of browse in their diet. These results support the hypothesis that the presence of functional incisors in the common warthog might provide the common warthog with foraging advantages over the Cape warthog. This might be a contributing factor to the success of this invasive species in the Eastern Cape, and might explain the rapid disappearance of Cape warthogs in the 1800s, which coincided with rapid expansion of herds of domestic grazers. A total of twelve grass species are used by common warthogs and are therefore most vulnerable to impacts of this invasive species. Common warthogs are rapidly expanding their range particularly around the Sundays and the Great Fish River valleys and they are perceived by landowners to have impacts on grass cover, soils and fencing. This spread of warthog in the Eastern Cape exhibits characteristics of an invasive species. In light of the findings of this study, it is therefore important that government authorities and other parties concerned recognize that common warthogs are invasive in the Eastern Cape.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2009
Water balance processes in indigenous and introduced spaces three production system in the Southern Cape region of South Africa
- Authors: Mapeto, Tatenda
- Date: 2020
- Subjects: Hydrology -- Research -- South Africa , Groundwater -- Research -- South Africa Trees -- Breeding Sustainable forestry
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/49325 , vital:41621
- Description: Forests and trees are important modulators of water flow and their position in the landscape impacts the spatial and temporal availability of ground water and surface water resources. As such, the global extent of natural forests is linked to the availability of water. In the circumstances where tree production systems have been introduced and are managed in landscapes previously populated with other forms of vegetation, it is necessary to understand their hydrological impact so as to ensure that the benefits derived from these tree systems do not outweigh the costs of water availability for sustaining human and environmental water requirements.
- Full Text: false
- Date Issued: 2020
Water, salt and nutrient budgets of the Swartkops and Sundays river estuaries using the loicz biogeochemical budgeting protocol
- Authors: Potgieter, Matthys Johannes
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Estuarine oceanography , Groundwater flow -- South Africa -- Swartkops River Estuary
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: vital:10705 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/903 , Estuarine oceanography , Groundwater flow -- South Africa -- Swartkops River Estuary
- Description: The Swartkops River and Sundays River Estuaries are different in terms of morphology and the level of human impact. Budget models of DIP and DIN were constructed for each estuary at different riverine flow rates, using the Land-Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone (LOICZ) protocol. Nutrient dynamics in the estuaries were investigated using nutrient data and the results of the models. The Swartkops River Estuary acted as a sink of DIP and DIN, while being net heterotrophic. The Sundays River Estuary acted as a source of DIP and DIN, while being net autotrophic. Both systems were net denitrifying. The Swartkops River Estuary shows greater anthropogenic impacts in terms of nutrient loads than the Sundays River Estuary. A shift in nutrient concentration trends and system properties occurred between conditions of low and high riverine flow rates. The Swartkops River and Sundays River Estuaries were shown to be ‘outwellers’ of DIN and DIP, while having an important influence on the ratio of DIN:DIP exported to the adjacent ocean. Comparisons with other estuaries suggested that riverine flow into estuaries in the Eastern Cape region may display natural DIN:DIP ratios which are lower than the global average for “pristine” systems. Such ratios would be decreased further by increased water extraction for human activities.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2008
Wavelength-modulation spectroscopy for the evaluation of the photoresponse of solar cells
- Authors: Mandanirina, Nambinintsoa Roméoh Hasinjatovo
- Date: 2016
- Subjects: Gallium arsenide semiconductors , Solar cells , Modulation spectroscopy
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/7244 , vital:21312
- Description: This study describes the development of a wavelength-modulation spectroscopy technique for the evaluation of solar cell devices. In particular, the technique is used to investigate the sub-bandgap response associated with the incorporation of GaSb quantum rings into the active region of a conventional GaAs p-i-n solar cell. These GaSb/GaAs quantum ring solar cells are a class of third generation cells, with the potential to exceed the Shockley-Queisser efficiency limit of single junction devices. Wavelength-modulation spectroscopy (WMS) techniques involve the modulation of the wavelength of a pseudo-monochromatic light source, with the resulting variation in the measured photocurrent then being a measure of the differential optical response of the solar cell. Although the conventional photocurrent spectrum of a solar cell is a good measure of the optical response characteristics, the differential technique gives supplemental detail related to the absorption spectrum. In addition to the basic WMS setup, we also developed an in situ flux correction module to ensure that a constant excitation intensity is maintained during the wavelength modulation. The excitation source inherently has a spectral dependence that leads to an undesirable contribution to the photocurrent signal. The operation of the flux corrected WMS setup has been demonstrated by photocurrent and photo-capacitance response measurements to obtain the differential quantum efficiency and charging characteristics of the quantum ring solar cells.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2016
Wavelet Theory: for Economic & Financial Cycles
- Authors: Mlambo, Farai Fredric
- Date: 2019-12
- Subjects: Wavelets (Mathematics) , Finance -- Mathematical models , Economic forecasting
- Language: English
- Type: Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/49930 , vital:41861
- Description: Cycles - their nature in existence, their implications on human-kind and the study thereof have sparked some important philosophical debates since the very pre-historic days. Notable contributions by famous, genius philosophers, mathematicians, historians and economists such as Pareto, Deulofeu, Danielewski, Kuznets, Kondratiev, Elliot and many others in itself shows how cycles and their study have been deemed important, through the history and process of scientific and philosophical inquiry. Particularly, the explication of Business, Economic and Financial cycles have seen some significant research and policy attention. Nevertheless, most of the methodologies employed in this space are either purely empirical in nature, time series based or the so-called Regime-Switching Markov model popularized in Economics by James Hamilton. In this work, we develop a Statistical, non-linear model fit based on circle geometry which is applicable for the dating of cycles. This study proposes a scalable, smooth and differentiable quarter-circular wavelet basis for the smoothing and dating of business, economic and financial cycles. The dating then necessitates the forecasting of the cyclical patterns in the evolution of business, economic and financial time series. The practical significance of dating and forecasting business and financial cycles cannot be over-emphasized. The use of wavelet decomposition in explaining cycles can be seen as an critical contribution of spectral methods of statistical modelling to finance and economic policy at large. Being a relatively new method, wavelet analysis has seen some great contribution in geophysical modelling. This study endeavours to widen the use and application of frequency-time decomposition to the economic and financial space. Wavelets are localized in both time and frequency, such that there is no loss of the time resolution. The importance of time resolution in dating of cycles is another motivation behind using wavelets. Moreover, the preservation of time resolution in wavelet analysis is a fundamental strength employed in the dating of cycles. , Thesis (DPhil) -- Faculty of Science, Mathematical Statistics, 2019
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2019-12
Weather neutral models for short-term electricity demand forecasting
- Authors: Nyulu, Thandekile
- Date: 2013
- Subjects: Electric power consumption -- Forecasting -- Mathematical models , Forecasting -- Mathematical models
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: vital:10578 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1018751
- Description: Energy demand forecasting, and specifically electricity demand forecasting, is a fun-damental feature in both industry and research. Forecasting techniques assist all electricity market participants in accurate planning, selling and purchasing decisions and strategies. Generation and distribution of electricity require appropriate, precise and accurate forecasting methods. Also accurate forecasting models assist producers, researchers and economists to make proper and beneficial future decisions. There are several research papers, which investigate this fundamental aspect and attempt var-ious statistical techniques. Although weather and economic effects have significant influences on electricity demand, in this study they are purposely eliminated from investigation. This research considers calendar-related effects such as months of the year, weekdays and holidays (that is, public holidays, the day before a public holiday, the day after a public holiday, school holidays, university holidays, Easter holidays and major religious holidays) and includes university exams, general election days, day after elections, and municipal elections in the analysis. Regression analysis, cate-gorical regression and auto-regression are used to illustrate the relationships between response variable and explanatory variables. The main objective of the investigation was to build forecasting models based on this calendar data only and to observe how accurate the models can be without taking into account weather effects and economic effects, hence weather neutral models. Weather and economic factors have to be forecasted, and these forecasts are not so accurate and calendar events are known for sure (error-free). Collecting data for weather and economic factors is costly and time consuming, while obtaining calendar data is relatively easy.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2013
Web usage mining of organisational web sites
- Authors: Oosthuizen, Craig Peter
- Date: 2005
- Subjects: Web usage mining -- South Africa , Internet users -- South Africa , Information visualization
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: vital:9595 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/399 , Web usage mining -- South Africa , Internet users -- South Africa , Information visualization
- Description: Web Usage Mining (WUM) can be used to determine whether the information architecture of a web site is structured correctly. Existing WUM tools however, do not indicate which web usage mining algorithms are used or provide effective graphical visualisations of the results obtained. WUM techniques can be used to determine typical navigation patterns of the users of organisational web sites. An organisational web site can be described as a site which has a high level of content. The Computer Science & Information Systems (CS&IS) web site at the Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University (NMMU) is an example of such a web site. The process of combining WUM and information visualisation techniques in order to discover useful information about web usage patterns is called visual web mining. The goal of this research is to discuss the development of a WUM model and a prototype, called WebPatterns, which allows the user to effectively visualise web usage patterns of an organisational web site. This will facilitate determining whether the information architecture of the CS&IS web site is structured correctly. The WUM algorithms used in WebPatterns are association rule mining and sequence analysis. The purpose of association rule mining is to discover relationships between different web pages within a web site. Sequence analysis is used to determine the longest time ordered paths that satisfy a user specified minimum frequency. A radial tree layout is used in WebPatterns to visualise the static structure of the organisational web site. The structure of the web site is laid out radially, with the home page in the middle and other pages positioned in circles at various levels around it. Colour and other visual cues are used to show the results of the WUM algorithms. User testing was used to determine the effectiveness and usefulness of WebPatterns for visualising web usage patterns. The results of the user testing clearly show that the participants were highly satisfied with the visual design and information provided by WebPatterns. All the participants also indicated that they would like to use WebPatterns in the future. Analysis of the web usage patterns presented by WebPatterns was used to determine that the information architecture of the CS&IS web site can be restructured to better facilitate information retrieval. Changes to the CS&IS web site web were suggested, included placing embedded hyperlinks on the home page to the frequently accessed sections of the web site.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2005
White rhinoceros populations in the Eastern Cape: distribution, performance and diet
- Authors: Kraai, Manqhai
- Date: 2010
- Subjects: Rhinoceroses -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Rhinoceroses -- Habitat -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Rhinoceroses -- Behavior -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: vital:10692 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/1297 , Rhinoceroses -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Rhinoceroses -- Habitat -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Rhinoceroses -- Behavior -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Description: White rhino populations did not occur historically in the Eastern Cape, South Africa (Skead 2007). They have, however, been introduced into a number of reserves within the Eastern Cape for reasons such as conservation, ecotourism and hunting. Based on the literature on the species, it was hypothesized that white rhinoceros would have been introduced in grass-rich habitats, as they are bulk grazers. White rhinoceros populations were further assessed in terms of population establishment by outlining their distribution and performance since introductions and this was done by extracting intercalving intervals from the literature of native populations and comparing such to the Eastern Cape intercalving intervals, extracted from data obtained from landowners. Finally, the diet of white rhinoceros was quantified, in order to identify plant species potentially at risk from white rhino herbivory using Shamwari Private Game Reserve as a study site. The distribution of white rhino in the Eastern Cape varies in terms of habitat and vegetation types. The majority (62%) of white rhino are located in grass-poor habitats and are primarily there for ecotourism purposes with only a small percentage kept for conservation purposes in the state reserves. Limited data for intercalving intervals of the white rhino in Eastern Cape are comparable to those of populations in the natural range. The ex situ conservation of white rhino in the Eastern Cape proved to be a success as population numbers have increased markedly since the first survey was conducted (Buijs 1999). The diet section of this study showed that white rhino are highly selective grazers even in a grass-limiting habitat which is dominated by browse. Twenty-five principal dietary items were identified in their diet, with only six being preferred in autumn. These are thus the plant species that could be the most vulnerable to white rhino herbivory. Supplementary food provision plays a big part of the feeding scheme of white rhino in Shamwari Private Game Reserve during the winter season, revealing the little confidence that the management has on natural resource availability to the animals at this time. These findings support the value of the Eastern Cape for ex situ conservation of white rhino, and highlight plant species potentially at risk. There is a need for further research on the population performance of these animals, and the plants identified here need to be monitored to assess white rhino impact on the vegetation
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2010
Wind damage impacts on Eucalyptus species performance in South Africa
- Authors: Hechter, Heinrich
- Date: 2020
- Subjects: Commercial forests -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/48368 , vital:40853
- Description: Commercial forestry plantations in South Africa play an important role in the economy of the country, contributing 1.2% towards the gross domestic product, as well as with job creation in rural communities. Currently plantation forests cover 1% (1.2 million hectares) of the South African land surface, of which ±75 000 hectares (±43 000 hectares to Eucalyptus species) are re-established each year. Different timber companies afforest areas with different species to satisfy specific management objectives, with the two main objectives being for either the production of saw-timber or pulpwood. Species of the Eucalyptus genera are preferred as they are fast growing and have desirable wood and pulping properties. However, their productive potential can be negatively impacted by numerous abiotic and biotic risk factors. Of the various risk factors that forest stands are exposed to, wind and wind-related tree damage has received very little attention, both nationally and internationally. Wind-related tree damage may result in wind-throw (uprooting or stem breakage), or trees that tilt (lean off vertical). Trees that are tilting can recover to an upright position, but are likely to retain some level of stem sinuosity or butt-sweep. Although strong winds increase the risk of tree damage, a number of other factors can also act to predispose trees to wind-related damage. These include choice of planting stock (genotype and type of plant stock), planting practices (including soil cultivation), site factors (wind exposure, rainfall, soil texture and soil fertility) or excessive weed competition. Most of the literature dealing with wind-related tree damage has focused on trees growing in natural forests, whereas trees in natural forests differ from forest grown plantation trees in terms of above- and below-ground morphological differences, as well as the stability factors of the trees. There is a need to not only understand the impacts of severe (catastrophic) wind events on mature trees, but also to test management strategies that prevent, or minimize damage prior to any severe wind events. Two existing eucalypt trials were used to provide information on the influence of selected re-establishment silvicultural practices on short-term pulpwood and long-term saw-timber survival, growth and uniformity when influenced by catastrophic wind events, within South Africa.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2020
Within- and between-beach variation in intertidal macrofaunal communities inhabiting two Transkei sandy beaches
- Authors: Dreyer, Nicolaas Burger
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Intertidal animals -- Ecology -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: vital:10700 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/1070 , Intertidal animals -- Ecology -- South Africa
- Description: Until recently most sandy beach studies have made use of snapshot samples but the validity of this approach has been widely questioned. In this study we attempt to resolve this issue by repeatedly sampling two beaches using a stratified random design. Three sampling sessions took place, each approximately six months apart. The three sites on the first beach were selected according to the type of beach (reflective, intermediate and dissipative) with each morphological type duplicated on the second beach. Many of the physical variables measured had significant differences between the sampling sessions but only a few were significantly different between the Sites. Very few of the individual physical variables had significant relationships with the sandy beach macrofaunal abundance and density. However, composite indices had a greater number of significant relationships with the macrofaunal abundance and density. Also very few significant relationships were seen between the species richness and the physical variables of the beaches studied. Effluent line crossing frequency was the only physical variable that could predict species richness but it was considered a weak predictor. Changes in the zonation patterns within and between beaches were also investigated. The highest concentration of taxa and individuals was found near the low-water mark with a gradual reduction of both towards the high-water mark. Some of the sandy beach community variables (abundance, density and species richness) showed significant difference between the sampling sessions but no significant differences were seen between the two beaches. The presence of three zones was noted using MDS plots and Cluster diagrams. However, using a SIMPER analyses, four zones with the possibility of a fifth was noted.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2008
Zoning the Southwestern Indian Ocean to mitigate impacts from ocean-based hydrocarbon exploration and production on sea turtles
- Authors: Pretorius, Dirk
- Date: 2019
- Subjects: Ocean zoning , Marine ecology -- Indian Ocean Sea turtles -- Indian Ocean Marine animals -- Ecology
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/43303 , vital:36787
- Description: The conflict between sea turtles and the numerous socio-economic developments in the Southwestern Indian Ocean (SWIO) are set to intensify as countries are looking to develop their ocean-based economies. The Hydrocarbon Exploration and Production (HEP) industry is of particular importance, since many of the SWIO governments view it as catalyst for development. This has raised concerns about potentially significant environmental impacts from the HEP industry, to sea turtles and their habitats, based on international examples where sea turtles have been severely negatively impacted upon, like the Deepwater Horizon spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Given that the four sea turtles species in the SWIO are listed on the IUCN Red List of threatened species, the aim of this study was to derive priority areas for sea turtles in the face of HEP, that could be used in an ocean zoning strategy for sustainable economic development of HEP in the SWIO region. To achieve this, the study spatially represented the main life-history stages of sea turtles, i.e. the breeding, migrating and foraging areas of Caretta caretta (loggerhead turtles), Dermochelys coriacea (leatherback turtles), Chelonia mydas (green turtles) and Eretmochelys imbricata (hawksbill turtles), within a telemetry derived distribution for each species. This spatial representation was used to quantify the extent of Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) conserving sea turtles in the SWIO, which revealed that sea turtle breeding areas were well represented in MPAs, including C. caretta (~40 %), C. mydas (~53 %), E. imbricata (~59 %) and D. coriacea (~22 %), the latter being least protected by MPAs during breeding, possibly due to a far greater extent of their internesting areas than the other three species. MPA coverage of breeding areas could be positively correlated to the increasing population trends of C. caretta and C. mydas in the SWIO, and therefore the assumption was made that increasing population trends of sea turtles are in part related to MPA protection of their breeding areas. In addition, the potential impacts on sea turtles from existing and proposed HEP developments were assessed and mapped by using a novel, species-specific rating index. The results revealed the extensive nature of potential water pollution impacts on sea turtles, constituting 16 of the top 28 most significant impacts from HEP on sea turtles. Other significant impacts on sea turtles associated with the HEP industry, included habitat destruction, light pollution and noise pollution. Importantly, this study found that ~70 % of all potential HEP impacts (irrespective of significance) on adult nesting sea turtles could be avoided if seasonal sea turtle movement during critical life stages are included as species-specific HEP mitigation measures. The data and maps on the main life-history stages of sea turtles, and the potential cumulative impacts from the HEP industry, were used in a Systematic Conservation Planning process, to derive a concept ocean zoning. As final outcome of this study, the concept ocean zoning highlighted areas where increased protection to sea turtles, and management of the conflict between sea turtles and the HEP industry, will be required if the HEP industry is to develop in a sustainable manner in the SWIO.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2019
Zooplankton dynamics of Algoa Bay (South Africa) under varying oceanographic conditions
- Authors: Bizani,Mfundo
- Date: 2022-04
- Subjects: Marine zooplankton -- South Africa , Climate changes
- Language: English
- Type: Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/55943 , vital:54554
- Description: the ecological significance of ocean plankton in terms of nutrient cycling and energy transfer is widely recognised, as is their mechanistic link with both oceanographic processes and climate. Consequently, plankton are widely regarded as sentinels of climate change, principally owing to their responsiveness to changing environmental conditions. Developing an understanding of the ecological as well as socio-economic consequences associated with changes in marine plankton dynamics has emerged as a key issue worldwide. Though many exciting advances in this respect have been attained with the aid of long-term plankton time series (>50 y), global environmental datasets and innovative meta-analyses, building deep knowledge of regional bio-physical dynamics and responses to specific perturbed states remains an essential component of the collective effort. Algoa Bay, situated on the warmtemperate south-east coast of South Africa presents a unique opportunity to study key elements of plankton ecology relevant to climate change problems in the regional sense. The embayment is locally subjected to frequent wind-driven upwelling and regionally, to periodic mesoscale oceanographic forcing (e.g., large solitary meanders, Agulhas Current intrusions), all of which culminate in a complex physical and biogeochemical environment. Using zooplankton as the focal component and drawing from a multi-year monthly dataset incorporating a bay-scale sampling framework, the present study addressed three key hypotheses pertaining to 1) drivers of spatio-temporal variability, 2) biomass rate of change over temporal scales using time-series analyses, and 3) community responses to a bay-scale biological perturbation event. Zooplankton biomass exhibited prominent seasonal patterns with bimodal peaks corresponding with near-consistent year-to-year autumn and spring blooms. Overall, the spatial trend showed no heterogeneity, though statistical significance between-station variability was noted per season. An analytical framework involving generalised additive models revealed zooplankton spatial heterogeneity in Algoa Bay to be a function of seasonal variation in a suite of physicochemical variables, including the combined effects of temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, total nitrogen and silicate, but not ammonium, phosphate or chlorophyll-a (as proxy for phytoplankton). Fronts (including river plumes), warm water intrusion from the Agulhas Current, and wind-driven upwelling were postulated to be key driving forces. Structural breaks analysis performed on station-specific time series revealed significant incremental increases in zooplankton biomass over time, which in turn, corresponded with a gradual decrease in thermocline depth. The most pronounced increasing effect was associated with a period (2013– 14) of amplified land-derived nutrient input and increasing harmful algal bloom (HAB) activity. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, School of Environmental Sciences, 2022
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2022-04
β-N-Methylamino-L-Alanine is a developmental neurotoxin
- Authors: Scott, Laura Louise
- Date: 2019
- Subjects: Neurotoxic agents , Nervous system -- Diseases
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/43633 , vital:36949
- Description: β-N-methylamino-L-alanine (BMAA) has been implicated in the development of the neurodegenerative diseases Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis/Parkinsonism Dementia Complex (ALS/PDC), Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) and Alzheimer’s Disease (AD), but to date no animal model has adequately substantiated this link at environmentally relevant or even exaggerated BMAA exposure levels. The resulting controversy over a possible role for BMAA in neurodegenerative diseases was further hampered by a lack of evidence for mechanistic explanation for the disease pathology associated with these diseases However, the different responses to BMAA that have been observed in neonatal compared to adult rats, together with the findings of epidemiological studies that exposure to environmental factors in utero or in the early stages of life may be important for the development of ALS several years later, suggested that age of exposure might be the determining factor of BMAA neurotoxicity. This study therefore specifically addresses the developmental nature of BMAA as a neurotoxin, and investigates the pathology and progressive nature of that pathology after exposure to the toxin at the most susceptible age. This study demonstrated the importance of BMAA exposure age over total BMAA dose by showing that the administration of a single neonatal dose of BMAA to rodents on postnatal day (PND) 3, 4 and 5, and not prenatally or on PND 6, 7 and 10, caused behavioural, locomotor, emotional and long-term cognitive deficits, clinical symptoms of neurodegeneration as well as pathological hallmarks of AD, PD and ALS in the central nervous system. Furthermore, the observed behavioural deficits and distribution of neuronal loss and proteinopathies in the rodent central nervous system following exposure to BMAA on PND 3, 4 and 5 (corresponding to the developing age of an infant during the third trimester of pregnancy) is consistent with that typically associated with the disruption of normal dopamine and/or serotonin signaling in the brain and the consequent alteration in normal hippocampal and striatal neurogenesis that is modulated, in part, by dopamine. The pattern of spread and rate of propagation of pathology in this neonatal rat BMAA model provided further evidence that BMAA potentially exerts its effect by acting on neurotransmitter signaling. The observed late onset of typical ALS symptoms and pathology suggest that in this BMAA model AD and/or PD related symptoms develop first, followed by the start of ALS symptoms only after the AD and/or PD neuropathological deficits have severely progressed. This study also demonstrated that BMAA exposure at different doses and at different developmental ages resulted in the development of different combinations of either AD and/or PD and/or ALS pathology and/or symptoms in rats, and it is therefore feasible that in humans the age and/or frequency of exposure as well as the BMAA dose might similarly be a major determinant of the variant of AD, PD and/or ALS that might develop in adulthood. Based on the low BMAA dose that was able to cause AD and/or PD-like neuropathological abnormalities in rats in this study, it is feasible that a pregnant human could over the course of her pregnancy, and specifically during the third trimester of pregnancy, consume sufficient BMAA to result in her unborn child developing AD and/or PD and/or ALS up to 30-50 years later. This neonatal BMAA model is the only non-transgenic rodent model that reproduces the behavioural deficits, neuropathology and clinical symptoms that are typically associated with AD, PD and ALS in humans and that, more importantly, mimics the delayed onset of disease symptoms and typical slow progression of these neurodegenerative diseases with age. It now seems very likely that BMAA is a developmental neurotoxin that, as a result of perinatal, but probably prenatal exposure, causes or contributes significantly to the development of neurodegenerative diseases in humans.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2019