Modelling the hydrological responses to changes in land use and cover in the Malaba River Catchment, Eastern Uganda
- Authors: Barasa, Bernard
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Hydrologic models -- Uganda , Runoff -- Uganda
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10670 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020153
- Description: Hydrological responses vary from one catchment to another, depending on the nature of land use and cover changes. Modelling the hydrological responses to changes in land use and cover at different catchment spatial scales was the major focus of this study. This study assessed the hydrological responses attributed to changes in land use and extreme weather events resulting into increased sediment loading/concentration, rainfall-runoff generation/volume, streamflow fluctuation and modification of the river channel in the Malaba River Catchment, Eastern Uganda. The hydrological responses were assessed using hydrological models (IHACRES, SCS CN, and SHETRAN) to examine the effect of land use on soil physio-chemical properties susceptibility to rainfall-runoff generation and volume, frequency and severity of extreme weather events, changes in streamflow variations, sediment loading/concentration and river channel morphology. The preliminary study results showed that the frequency of extreme weather events reduced from 4-10 to 1-3 years over the catchment. The performance of the IHACRES model with a Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.89 showed that streamflow comparatively corresponded with the results obtained the drought indices in predicting the recorded events of severe drought (2005) and flood (1997). Changes in land use and cover types showed that the highest change in the gain of land was experienced from the agricultural land use (36.7 percent), and tropical forest (regeneration) (2.2 percent). The biggest losses in land were experienced in the wetlands (24.6 percent) and bushland and thickets (15.3 percent) land cover types. The SHETRAN model calibrated period had a NSE of 0.78 and 0.81 in the validation period showed satisfactory fits between the measured and simulated streamflow. The agricultural land use (crop growing) had a higher influence on the rainfall-runoff generation and increase in the streamflow than the tropical forest, and bushland cover types in the simulated period. Similarly, the curve number model estimated a comparatively higher surface rainfall-runoff volume generated from the agricultural land use (crop growing) (71,740 m3) than in the bushlands and thickets (42,872 m3) from a rainstorm followed by the tropical forest cover type. This was also reflected in the lower rates of saturated hydraulic conductivity from the agricultural land use (crop growing). The study also showed that human-induced sediment loading due to gold mining activities contributed a much higher impact on the concentration of suspended sediments and streamflow than sediments from rainfall-runoff from the sampled streams. The main contributor of human-induced sediments to the Malaba River were Nankuke River (130.6kg/annum), followed by Omanyi River (70.6kg/annum), and Nabewo River (66.8kg/annum). Human-induced sediment loading had a profound impact on the streamflow variations both in the dry and wet seasons from the sampled tributaries. Lastly, in regard to the effect of land use and cover types on the river channel morphology, tree plantation (cohesion=12, angle of internal friction=27) and bushland and thickets (cohesion=14, angle of internal friction=22) cover types had the most stable river banks compared to the wetland and agricultural land use and cover types that exhibited higher levels of sediment concentration.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Barasa, Bernard
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Hydrologic models -- Uganda , Runoff -- Uganda
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10670 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020153
- Description: Hydrological responses vary from one catchment to another, depending on the nature of land use and cover changes. Modelling the hydrological responses to changes in land use and cover at different catchment spatial scales was the major focus of this study. This study assessed the hydrological responses attributed to changes in land use and extreme weather events resulting into increased sediment loading/concentration, rainfall-runoff generation/volume, streamflow fluctuation and modification of the river channel in the Malaba River Catchment, Eastern Uganda. The hydrological responses were assessed using hydrological models (IHACRES, SCS CN, and SHETRAN) to examine the effect of land use on soil physio-chemical properties susceptibility to rainfall-runoff generation and volume, frequency and severity of extreme weather events, changes in streamflow variations, sediment loading/concentration and river channel morphology. The preliminary study results showed that the frequency of extreme weather events reduced from 4-10 to 1-3 years over the catchment. The performance of the IHACRES model with a Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.89 showed that streamflow comparatively corresponded with the results obtained the drought indices in predicting the recorded events of severe drought (2005) and flood (1997). Changes in land use and cover types showed that the highest change in the gain of land was experienced from the agricultural land use (36.7 percent), and tropical forest (regeneration) (2.2 percent). The biggest losses in land were experienced in the wetlands (24.6 percent) and bushland and thickets (15.3 percent) land cover types. The SHETRAN model calibrated period had a NSE of 0.78 and 0.81 in the validation period showed satisfactory fits between the measured and simulated streamflow. The agricultural land use (crop growing) had a higher influence on the rainfall-runoff generation and increase in the streamflow than the tropical forest, and bushland cover types in the simulated period. Similarly, the curve number model estimated a comparatively higher surface rainfall-runoff volume generated from the agricultural land use (crop growing) (71,740 m3) than in the bushlands and thickets (42,872 m3) from a rainstorm followed by the tropical forest cover type. This was also reflected in the lower rates of saturated hydraulic conductivity from the agricultural land use (crop growing). The study also showed that human-induced sediment loading due to gold mining activities contributed a much higher impact on the concentration of suspended sediments and streamflow than sediments from rainfall-runoff from the sampled streams. The main contributor of human-induced sediments to the Malaba River were Nankuke River (130.6kg/annum), followed by Omanyi River (70.6kg/annum), and Nabewo River (66.8kg/annum). Human-induced sediment loading had a profound impact on the streamflow variations both in the dry and wet seasons from the sampled tributaries. Lastly, in regard to the effect of land use and cover types on the river channel morphology, tree plantation (cohesion=12, angle of internal friction=27) and bushland and thickets (cohesion=14, angle of internal friction=22) cover types had the most stable river banks compared to the wetland and agricultural land use and cover types that exhibited higher levels of sediment concentration.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Enhanced visualisation techniques to support access to personal information across multiple devices
- Authors: Beets, Simone Yvonne
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Information visualisation , Database management , Web services , Personal information management
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10500 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021136
- Description: The increasing number of devices owned by a single user makes it increasingly difficult to access, organise and visualise personal information (PI), i.e. documents and media, across these devices. The primary method that is currently used to organise and visualise PI is the hierarchical folder structure, which is a familiar and widely used means to manage PI. However, this hierarchy does not effectively support personal information management (PIM) across multiple devices. Current solutions, such as the Personal Information Dashboard and Stuff I’ve Seen, do not support PIM across multiple devices. Alternative PIM tools, such as Dropbox and TeamViewer, attempt to provide a means of accessing PI across multiple devices, but these solutions also suffer from several limitations. The aim of this research was to investigate to what extent enhanced information visualisation (IV) techniques could be used to support accessing PI across multiple devices. An interview study was conducted to identify how PI is currently managed across multiple devices. This interview study further motivated the need for a tool to support visualising PI across multiple devices and identified requirements for such an IV tool. Several suitable IV techniques were selected and enhanced to support PIM across multiple devices. These techniques comprised an Overview using a nested circles layout, a Tag Cloud and a Partition Layout, which used a novel set-based technique. A prototype, called MyPSI, was designed and implemented incorporating these enhanced IV techniques. The requirements and design of the MyPSI prototype were validated using a conceptual walkthrough. The design of the MyPSI prototype was initially implemented for a desktop or laptop device with mouse-based interaction. A sample personal space of information (PSI) was used to evaluate the prototype in a controlled user study. The user study was used to identify any usability problems with the MyPSI prototype. The results were highly positive and the participants agreed that such a tool could be useful in future. No major problems were identified with the prototype. The MyPSI prototype was then implemented on a mobile device, specifically an Android tablet device, using a similar design, but supporting touch-based interaction. Users were allowed to upload their own PSI using Dropbox, which was visualised by the MyPSI prototype. A field study was conducted following the Multi-dimensional In-depth Long-term Case Studies approach specifically designed for IV evaluation. The field study was conducted over a two-week period, evaluating both the desktop and mobile versions of the MyPSI prototype. Both versions received positive results, but the desktop version was slightly preferred over the mobile version, mainly due to familiarity and problems experienced with the mobile implementation. Design recommendations were derived to inform future designs of IV tools to support accessing PI across multiple devices. This research has shown that IV techniques can be enhanced to effectively support accessing PI across multiple devices. Future work will involve customising the MyPSI prototype for mobile phones and supporting additional platforms.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Beets, Simone Yvonne
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Information visualisation , Database management , Web services , Personal information management
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10500 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021136
- Description: The increasing number of devices owned by a single user makes it increasingly difficult to access, organise and visualise personal information (PI), i.e. documents and media, across these devices. The primary method that is currently used to organise and visualise PI is the hierarchical folder structure, which is a familiar and widely used means to manage PI. However, this hierarchy does not effectively support personal information management (PIM) across multiple devices. Current solutions, such as the Personal Information Dashboard and Stuff I’ve Seen, do not support PIM across multiple devices. Alternative PIM tools, such as Dropbox and TeamViewer, attempt to provide a means of accessing PI across multiple devices, but these solutions also suffer from several limitations. The aim of this research was to investigate to what extent enhanced information visualisation (IV) techniques could be used to support accessing PI across multiple devices. An interview study was conducted to identify how PI is currently managed across multiple devices. This interview study further motivated the need for a tool to support visualising PI across multiple devices and identified requirements for such an IV tool. Several suitable IV techniques were selected and enhanced to support PIM across multiple devices. These techniques comprised an Overview using a nested circles layout, a Tag Cloud and a Partition Layout, which used a novel set-based technique. A prototype, called MyPSI, was designed and implemented incorporating these enhanced IV techniques. The requirements and design of the MyPSI prototype were validated using a conceptual walkthrough. The design of the MyPSI prototype was initially implemented for a desktop or laptop device with mouse-based interaction. A sample personal space of information (PSI) was used to evaluate the prototype in a controlled user study. The user study was used to identify any usability problems with the MyPSI prototype. The results were highly positive and the participants agreed that such a tool could be useful in future. No major problems were identified with the prototype. The MyPSI prototype was then implemented on a mobile device, specifically an Android tablet device, using a similar design, but supporting touch-based interaction. Users were allowed to upload their own PSI using Dropbox, which was visualised by the MyPSI prototype. A field study was conducted following the Multi-dimensional In-depth Long-term Case Studies approach specifically designed for IV evaluation. The field study was conducted over a two-week period, evaluating both the desktop and mobile versions of the MyPSI prototype. Both versions received positive results, but the desktop version was slightly preferred over the mobile version, mainly due to familiarity and problems experienced with the mobile implementation. Design recommendations were derived to inform future designs of IV tools to support accessing PI across multiple devices. This research has shown that IV techniques can be enhanced to effectively support accessing PI across multiple devices. Future work will involve customising the MyPSI prototype for mobile phones and supporting additional platforms.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Indigenous knowledge and climate change : insights from Muzarabani, Zimbabwe
- Authors: Chanza, Nelson
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Indigenous peoples – Ecology – Zimbabwe -- Centenary District , Climatic changes -- Social aspects – Zimbabwe -- Centenary District , Climatic changes – Zimbabwe -- Centenary District
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: vital:10671 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020299
- Description: Discourse characterising climate change has largely revolved around aspects within the realm of impact identification, mitigation and adaptation. Apparently, a burgeoning appetite to examine the role of indigenous knowledge (IK) now confronts the fronts of climate science, policy and practice. The surge in attention to localbased knowledge is attributed to growing challenges posed by change and variability in the climate system. This study argues that indigenous-based knowledge is capable of filling knowledge gaps and validating current understanding about climate change particularly at local levels. Essentially, the paucity of knowledge about local climatic events can be circumvented by engaging indigenous ‘scientists’ whose many years of direct contact with the environment have equipped them with the indispensable knowledge, skills and experiences to understand the same. Primarily, the thesis’ objectives were threefold. One, it captured useful indicators of climate change and variability from the understanding of the indigenous people, which can also be used to enhance understanding of climate change impacts.Two, it drew from the knowledge, experiences, skills and practices of the locals in order to inform appropriate community level mitigation and adaptation interventions. And, three, it highlighted the fact that knowledge of the indigenous people can be used to direct research on climate change. The study area (Muzarabani in Zimbabwe) experiences recurrent droughts and floods and its villagers rely predominantly on climate-sensitive livelihoods. As such, it was selected to provide a reliable case on IK practices and experiences of the people witnessing climatic events. The study was framed within an epistemological and methodological configuration of emancipatory pedagogy that looks at the generators of climate knowledge as ‘scientists’ in their own right. A qualitative elicitation interviewing technique involving in-depth discussions with traditional leaders and elderly knowledgeable citizens was conducted. The participants were selected through chain referrals until the level of theoretical saturation. In addition, directed field observations, document analysis and key informant interviews with other respondents selected through theoretical sampling enhanced the robustness of data acquisition methods. Group-based participatory data analysis and reflexive pragmatism also enhanced rigour and quality of research findings intended to balance between the strictures of the scientific audience and the views of the knowledge generators. Three key themes were derived from IK-climate change linkages as: indigenous based indicators of climate change, indigenous-based mitigation and indigenous based adaptation. A range of indigenous-based indicators identified pointed to a progressively drier climate with shorter growing seasons that are also punctuated by mid-season dry spells. A trend towards increased desiccation of water bodies (rivers, ponds and vleis) was further observed. There is also an upsurge in the abundance and pestiferous nature of Macrotermes spp, Quelea quelea and Acanthoplus discoidalis, which are most likely related to climate change. Some of these indicators closely match with those used in mainstream climate science and they also serve to understand climate change impacts at a finer local level of analysis. Indigenous-based mitigation is mainly driven by the notion of sacredness where the locals regard forestry, certain trees and vleis as sacrosanct. Tampering with these is believed to upset the spirits who have powers to influence climate. Opportunities associated with IK deployment in climate mitigation are understood from the viewpoint of enhancing greenhouse gas (GHG) sinks and that of reducing vulnerability to extreme climatic events. Specifically, this can be achieved through enhancing GHG sequestration through forestry and land-use management initiatives; that is, reducing emissions from deforestation and forestry related degradation (REDD+) and Land Use and Land-Use Cover and Forestry (LULUCF). These two are the dominant schemes adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to govern climate mitigation. Indigenous disaster risk management (DRM) strategies abound in drought, famine, flood and violent storms through various forms such as Zunde raMambo, nhimbe, rain-making ceremonies and community early warning systems (EWS).The locals in Muzarabani are not passive observers of the changing climate system. Increasing environmental risks necessitates them to devise countermeasures for responding to climatic stimuli with the intention of minimising harm and/or enhancing the benefits brought about by the same. Thus, a portfolio of IK-based adaptation strategies best described as an assortment of short-term coping practices and longterm adaptive strategies were identified. These range from exploitation of ecosystem services, agricultural based interventions, riverine farming, traditional phonological knowledge (TPK) to migration. Therefore, it was revealed that community-based adaptation (CBA) can adequately leverage on IK to improve adaptive capacity and build community resilience against climate change. Clearly, the complementary role of indigenous-based knowledge cannot be disputed, given the demonstrated range of applications from identifying several indicators of change and variability in the climate system, examination of climate change impacts, to identification and assessment of mitigation and adaptation options. The study advises that exogenous climate interventions need to be congruent with indigenous based strategies to avoid maladaptation. To the climate research community therefore, it should be realised that IK is useful both as leads and as baseline knowledge for future work on the impacts of climate change, and in the assessment of climate interventions. In this regard, the remaining challenge is to formulate a framework of constructive dialogue between indigenous scientists and conventional scientists so as to make sure that the mutual benefits of the two knowledge forms are adequately harnessed. Handled well, such collaborative effort would ensure enhanced climate change knowledge for successful mitigation and adaptation strategies. Handled poorly, there is a risk that the developmental needs of communities exposed to climatic events would not be addressed.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Chanza, Nelson
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Indigenous peoples – Ecology – Zimbabwe -- Centenary District , Climatic changes -- Social aspects – Zimbabwe -- Centenary District , Climatic changes – Zimbabwe -- Centenary District
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: vital:10671 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020299
- Description: Discourse characterising climate change has largely revolved around aspects within the realm of impact identification, mitigation and adaptation. Apparently, a burgeoning appetite to examine the role of indigenous knowledge (IK) now confronts the fronts of climate science, policy and practice. The surge in attention to localbased knowledge is attributed to growing challenges posed by change and variability in the climate system. This study argues that indigenous-based knowledge is capable of filling knowledge gaps and validating current understanding about climate change particularly at local levels. Essentially, the paucity of knowledge about local climatic events can be circumvented by engaging indigenous ‘scientists’ whose many years of direct contact with the environment have equipped them with the indispensable knowledge, skills and experiences to understand the same. Primarily, the thesis’ objectives were threefold. One, it captured useful indicators of climate change and variability from the understanding of the indigenous people, which can also be used to enhance understanding of climate change impacts.Two, it drew from the knowledge, experiences, skills and practices of the locals in order to inform appropriate community level mitigation and adaptation interventions. And, three, it highlighted the fact that knowledge of the indigenous people can be used to direct research on climate change. The study area (Muzarabani in Zimbabwe) experiences recurrent droughts and floods and its villagers rely predominantly on climate-sensitive livelihoods. As such, it was selected to provide a reliable case on IK practices and experiences of the people witnessing climatic events. The study was framed within an epistemological and methodological configuration of emancipatory pedagogy that looks at the generators of climate knowledge as ‘scientists’ in their own right. A qualitative elicitation interviewing technique involving in-depth discussions with traditional leaders and elderly knowledgeable citizens was conducted. The participants were selected through chain referrals until the level of theoretical saturation. In addition, directed field observations, document analysis and key informant interviews with other respondents selected through theoretical sampling enhanced the robustness of data acquisition methods. Group-based participatory data analysis and reflexive pragmatism also enhanced rigour and quality of research findings intended to balance between the strictures of the scientific audience and the views of the knowledge generators. Three key themes were derived from IK-climate change linkages as: indigenous based indicators of climate change, indigenous-based mitigation and indigenous based adaptation. A range of indigenous-based indicators identified pointed to a progressively drier climate with shorter growing seasons that are also punctuated by mid-season dry spells. A trend towards increased desiccation of water bodies (rivers, ponds and vleis) was further observed. There is also an upsurge in the abundance and pestiferous nature of Macrotermes spp, Quelea quelea and Acanthoplus discoidalis, which are most likely related to climate change. Some of these indicators closely match with those used in mainstream climate science and they also serve to understand climate change impacts at a finer local level of analysis. Indigenous-based mitigation is mainly driven by the notion of sacredness where the locals regard forestry, certain trees and vleis as sacrosanct. Tampering with these is believed to upset the spirits who have powers to influence climate. Opportunities associated with IK deployment in climate mitigation are understood from the viewpoint of enhancing greenhouse gas (GHG) sinks and that of reducing vulnerability to extreme climatic events. Specifically, this can be achieved through enhancing GHG sequestration through forestry and land-use management initiatives; that is, reducing emissions from deforestation and forestry related degradation (REDD+) and Land Use and Land-Use Cover and Forestry (LULUCF). These two are the dominant schemes adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to govern climate mitigation. Indigenous disaster risk management (DRM) strategies abound in drought, famine, flood and violent storms through various forms such as Zunde raMambo, nhimbe, rain-making ceremonies and community early warning systems (EWS).The locals in Muzarabani are not passive observers of the changing climate system. Increasing environmental risks necessitates them to devise countermeasures for responding to climatic stimuli with the intention of minimising harm and/or enhancing the benefits brought about by the same. Thus, a portfolio of IK-based adaptation strategies best described as an assortment of short-term coping practices and longterm adaptive strategies were identified. These range from exploitation of ecosystem services, agricultural based interventions, riverine farming, traditional phonological knowledge (TPK) to migration. Therefore, it was revealed that community-based adaptation (CBA) can adequately leverage on IK to improve adaptive capacity and build community resilience against climate change. Clearly, the complementary role of indigenous-based knowledge cannot be disputed, given the demonstrated range of applications from identifying several indicators of change and variability in the climate system, examination of climate change impacts, to identification and assessment of mitigation and adaptation options. The study advises that exogenous climate interventions need to be congruent with indigenous based strategies to avoid maladaptation. To the climate research community therefore, it should be realised that IK is useful both as leads and as baseline knowledge for future work on the impacts of climate change, and in the assessment of climate interventions. In this regard, the remaining challenge is to formulate a framework of constructive dialogue between indigenous scientists and conventional scientists so as to make sure that the mutual benefits of the two knowledge forms are adequately harnessed. Handled well, such collaborative effort would ensure enhanced climate change knowledge for successful mitigation and adaptation strategies. Handled poorly, there is a risk that the developmental needs of communities exposed to climatic events would not be addressed.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Causal determinants of the public's attitudes towards hunting as a basis for strategies to improve the social legitimacy of hunting
- Coetzer, Wentzel Christoffel
- Authors: Coetzer, Wentzel Christoffel
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Hunting -- South Africa , Wildlife management -- South Africa , Wildlife conservation -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DTech
- Identifier: vital:10759 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021164
- Description: It is widely acknowledged that the organised wildlife and hunting industry in South Africa contributes significantly to the country’s economy, as well as to the effective management and conservation of wildlife on privately owned land. Despite this, hunting has come under increasing attack by anti-hunting proponents who wish to bring a ban on hunting. A number of broad shifts across society at large and lobbying against hunting by anti-hunting proponents have given rise to legitimate concerns regarding the social acceptability of hunting. To maintain the social legitimacy of hunting, it is imperative to put strategies in place to actively broaden the base of public acceptance of hunting. Towards this aim, this study is an empirical investigation of the causal determinants of the public’s attitudes towards hunting and of the implications it holds for improving the social legitimacy of hunting. The study commenced by building a sound theoretical foundation from the available literature on the measurement of attitudes, the structure and formation of attitudes, the instrumental and experiential aspects of attitudes, attitudinal ambivalence, the psychology of strong attitudes, as well as the phenomenon of cognitive dissonance. Thereafter, the study turned to identify an adequate and empirically valid research approach for investigating attitudes and its causal determinants. A popular attitude theory in social psychology, namely the theory of reasoned action, was identified as a suitable conceptual framework for conducting this study. According to the reasoned action model, the salient behavioural beliefs people associate with a particular behaviour form the informational foundation (or cognitive foundation) on which their attitudes towards the behaviour are based. More specifically, the model suggests that peoples’ overall attitude towards a behaviour is a function of their perceived probability that a behaviour will produce certain outcomes (belief strength), as well as the degree to which they judge the perceived outcomes of the behaviour as positive or negative (outcome evaluation). The methodological design of the study’s empirical component was strictly based on the standard procedures prescribed by the theory of reasoned action. Two consecutive and methodologically interrelated surveys were conducted amongst members of the public to collect the study’s primary data. The main salient behavioural beliefs on which different attitudes towards hunting are based were identified and further investigated. The results were analysed from the perspective of the theory of reasoned action and a clear understanding of the causal determinants of different attitudes towards hunting were attained. Based on the findings of the study, a number of conclusions and recommendations were made that may guide the development of future strategies to improve the social legitimacy of hunting. Amongst other things, it was suggested that public education programmes should be developed to address the public’s misconceptions of hunting; that public relation campaigns be undertaken to improve the public’s negative image of hunters; and that hunter education programmes be put in place to make hunters aware of the role they could play at community level to improve the social acceptability of hunting. Detailed guidelines regarding the contents of such education programmes and public relation campaigns were provided.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Coetzer, Wentzel Christoffel
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Hunting -- South Africa , Wildlife management -- South Africa , Wildlife conservation -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DTech
- Identifier: vital:10759 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021164
- Description: It is widely acknowledged that the organised wildlife and hunting industry in South Africa contributes significantly to the country’s economy, as well as to the effective management and conservation of wildlife on privately owned land. Despite this, hunting has come under increasing attack by anti-hunting proponents who wish to bring a ban on hunting. A number of broad shifts across society at large and lobbying against hunting by anti-hunting proponents have given rise to legitimate concerns regarding the social acceptability of hunting. To maintain the social legitimacy of hunting, it is imperative to put strategies in place to actively broaden the base of public acceptance of hunting. Towards this aim, this study is an empirical investigation of the causal determinants of the public’s attitudes towards hunting and of the implications it holds for improving the social legitimacy of hunting. The study commenced by building a sound theoretical foundation from the available literature on the measurement of attitudes, the structure and formation of attitudes, the instrumental and experiential aspects of attitudes, attitudinal ambivalence, the psychology of strong attitudes, as well as the phenomenon of cognitive dissonance. Thereafter, the study turned to identify an adequate and empirically valid research approach for investigating attitudes and its causal determinants. A popular attitude theory in social psychology, namely the theory of reasoned action, was identified as a suitable conceptual framework for conducting this study. According to the reasoned action model, the salient behavioural beliefs people associate with a particular behaviour form the informational foundation (or cognitive foundation) on which their attitudes towards the behaviour are based. More specifically, the model suggests that peoples’ overall attitude towards a behaviour is a function of their perceived probability that a behaviour will produce certain outcomes (belief strength), as well as the degree to which they judge the perceived outcomes of the behaviour as positive or negative (outcome evaluation). The methodological design of the study’s empirical component was strictly based on the standard procedures prescribed by the theory of reasoned action. Two consecutive and methodologically interrelated surveys were conducted amongst members of the public to collect the study’s primary data. The main salient behavioural beliefs on which different attitudes towards hunting are based were identified and further investigated. The results were analysed from the perspective of the theory of reasoned action and a clear understanding of the causal determinants of different attitudes towards hunting were attained. Based on the findings of the study, a number of conclusions and recommendations were made that may guide the development of future strategies to improve the social legitimacy of hunting. Amongst other things, it was suggested that public education programmes should be developed to address the public’s misconceptions of hunting; that public relation campaigns be undertaken to improve the public’s negative image of hunters; and that hunter education programmes be put in place to make hunters aware of the role they could play at community level to improve the social acceptability of hunting. Detailed guidelines regarding the contents of such education programmes and public relation campaigns were provided.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Swift heavy ion radiation damage in nanocrystalline ZrN
- Authors: Janse van Vuuren, Arno
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Zirconium -- Effect of radiation on , Nanocrystals
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10550 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020147
- Description: ZrN has been identified as a candidate material for use as an inert matrix fuel host for the transmutation of plutonium and minor actinides. These materials will be subjected to large amounts of different types of radiation within the nuclear reactor core. The types of radiation include fission fragments and alpha-particles amongst others. Recent studies suggest that nanocrystalline material may have a higher radiation tolerance than their polycrystalline and bulk counterparts. Some studies have shown that swift heavy ion irradiation may also significantly modulate hydrogen and helium behaviour in materials. This phenomenon is also of considerable practical interest for inert matrix fuel hosts, since these materials accumulate helium via (n,) reactions and will also be subjected to irradiation by fission fragments. The aim of this investigation is therefore to study the effects of fission fragment and alpha particle irradiation on nanocrystalline ZrN. In an effort to simulate the effects of fission fragments on nanocrystalline zirconium nitride different layers (on a Si substrate) of various thicknesses (0.1, 3, 10 and 20 μm) were irradiated with 167 MeV Xe, 250 MeV Kr and 695 MeV Bi ions to fluences in the range from 31012 to 2.61015 cm-2 for Xe, 1×1013 to 7.06×1013 cm-2 for Kr and 1012 to 1013 cm-2 for Bi. The purpose of this irradiation is to simulate the effects of fission fragments on nanocrystalline ZrN. In order to simulate the effects of alpha particles and the combined effects of alpha particles and fission fragments on nanocrystalline ZrN it was irradiated with 30 keV He to fluences between 1016 and 5×1016 cm-2, 167 MeV Xe to fluences between 5×1013 and 1014 cm-2 and also 695 MeV Bi to a fluence of 1.5×1013 cm-2. He/Bi and He/Xe irradiated samples were annealed at temperatures between 600 and 1000 °C. The different irradiated layers were subsequently analysed via X-ray diffraction (XRD), μ-Raman, transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and nano indentation hardness testing (NIH) techniques. XRD, TEM, μ-Raman and NIH results indicate that ZrN has a very high tolerance to the effects of high energy irradiation. The microstructure of nanocrystalline ZrN remains unaffected by electronic excitation effects even at a very high stopping power. TEM and SEM results indicated that post irradiation heat treatment induces exfoliation at a depth that corresponds to the end-of-range of 30 keV He ions. Results from He/Xe irradiated samples revealed that electronic excitation effects, due to Xe ions, suppress helium blister formation and consequently the exfoliation processes. He/Bi samples however do not show the same effects, but this is possibly due to the lower fluence of Bi ions. This suggests that nanocrystalline ZrN is prone to the formation of He blisters which may ultimately lead material failure. These effects may however be mitigated by electronic excitation effects from certain SHIs.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Janse van Vuuren, Arno
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Zirconium -- Effect of radiation on , Nanocrystals
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10550 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020147
- Description: ZrN has been identified as a candidate material for use as an inert matrix fuel host for the transmutation of plutonium and minor actinides. These materials will be subjected to large amounts of different types of radiation within the nuclear reactor core. The types of radiation include fission fragments and alpha-particles amongst others. Recent studies suggest that nanocrystalline material may have a higher radiation tolerance than their polycrystalline and bulk counterparts. Some studies have shown that swift heavy ion irradiation may also significantly modulate hydrogen and helium behaviour in materials. This phenomenon is also of considerable practical interest for inert matrix fuel hosts, since these materials accumulate helium via (n,) reactions and will also be subjected to irradiation by fission fragments. The aim of this investigation is therefore to study the effects of fission fragment and alpha particle irradiation on nanocrystalline ZrN. In an effort to simulate the effects of fission fragments on nanocrystalline zirconium nitride different layers (on a Si substrate) of various thicknesses (0.1, 3, 10 and 20 μm) were irradiated with 167 MeV Xe, 250 MeV Kr and 695 MeV Bi ions to fluences in the range from 31012 to 2.61015 cm-2 for Xe, 1×1013 to 7.06×1013 cm-2 for Kr and 1012 to 1013 cm-2 for Bi. The purpose of this irradiation is to simulate the effects of fission fragments on nanocrystalline ZrN. In order to simulate the effects of alpha particles and the combined effects of alpha particles and fission fragments on nanocrystalline ZrN it was irradiated with 30 keV He to fluences between 1016 and 5×1016 cm-2, 167 MeV Xe to fluences between 5×1013 and 1014 cm-2 and also 695 MeV Bi to a fluence of 1.5×1013 cm-2. He/Bi and He/Xe irradiated samples were annealed at temperatures between 600 and 1000 °C. The different irradiated layers were subsequently analysed via X-ray diffraction (XRD), μ-Raman, transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and nano indentation hardness testing (NIH) techniques. XRD, TEM, μ-Raman and NIH results indicate that ZrN has a very high tolerance to the effects of high energy irradiation. The microstructure of nanocrystalline ZrN remains unaffected by electronic excitation effects even at a very high stopping power. TEM and SEM results indicated that post irradiation heat treatment induces exfoliation at a depth that corresponds to the end-of-range of 30 keV He ions. Results from He/Xe irradiated samples revealed that electronic excitation effects, due to Xe ions, suppress helium blister formation and consequently the exfoliation processes. He/Bi samples however do not show the same effects, but this is possibly due to the lower fluence of Bi ions. This suggests that nanocrystalline ZrN is prone to the formation of He blisters which may ultimately lead material failure. These effects may however be mitigated by electronic excitation effects from certain SHIs.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Patterns and drivers of benthic macrofouna to support systematic conservation planning for marine unconsolidated sediment ecosystems
- Authors: Karenyi, Natasha
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Marine sediments -- Microbiology , Biotic communities , Ecosystem management , Conservation of natural resources
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10355 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020989
- Description: Marine unconsolidated sediments constitute the largest ecosystems on earth in terms of spatial coverage, but there are still critical gaps in the science required to support conservation and ecosystem-based management. This is mainly due to the inaccessibility of these ecosystems in wave-exposed environments or deeper waters and the difficulty in observing biota in their three-dimensional sedimentary habitat. Currently, the physical driving processes of intertidal unconsolidated sediment ecosystems are much better understood than those of the subtidal ecosystems. However, these ecosystems are linked through water and sediment movement. This thesis, therefore, considers the continuum of unconsolidated sediment ecosystems across the entire continental shelf (i.e. intertidal to the shelf edge). The aim of this thesis was two-fold; (i) to advance the foundational understanding of biodiversity patterns and driving processes in unconsolidated sediment habitats, and (ii) to apply this knowledge in the development of a systematic conservation plan for marine unconsolidated sediment ecosystems. The South African west coast continental shelf was used as a case study in order to represent Eastern boundary upwelling regions. This study sought to investigate biodiversity patterns in macro-infaunal communities and determine their driving processes for incorporation into habitat classifications and the development of a habitat map. Systematic conservation plans require a map of biodiversity patterns and processes, and quantitative conservation targets to ensure representation of all biodiversity features including habitats.in marine protected areas. This thesis provided these key elements by classifying the unconsolidated sediment habitats and determining habitat-specific evidence-based conservation targets to support conservation of these important ecosystems. The application of these elements was then demonstrated in a systematic conservation plan for the unconsolidated sediment ecosystems of the South African west coast. Diversity patterns were examined using physical and macro-infauna data, ranging from the beach to the shelf edge (0-412 m). These data were analysed to develop two different habitat classifications, namely seascapes derived from geophysical and biophysical data, and biotopes derived from the combination of macro-infaunal and physical data. Multivariate analyses of 13 physical variables identified eight seascapes for the unconsolidated sediment samples from 48 sites on the South African west coast. These were based on depth, slope, sediment type, and upwelling-related processes (i.e. maximum chlorophyll concentration, sediment organic carbon content and austral summer bottom oxygen concentration). Latitude and bottom temperature were not considered major drivers of seascapes on the west coast because latitude closely reflected changes in upwelling-related processes and the temperature range was narrow across the shelf. This study revealed that productivity, a biophysical variable not usually included in geo-physical habitat classifications, played a significant role in the definition of seascapes on the South African west coast. It is therefore recommended that productivity be included in future seascape classifications to improve the utility of these classifications particularly in areas of variable productivity. Seascapes should, however, be tested against biological data to improve the understanding of key physical drivers of communities in unconsolidated sediment ecosystems. Macro-infaunal community distributions were determined along with their physical drivers for the unconsolidated sediments of the South African west coast. A total of 44 828 individuals from 469 taxa were identified from 48 sites representing 46.2 m2 of seafloor. Seven distinct macro-infaunal communities were defined through multivariate analyses and their key characteristic and distinguishing species were identified. These communities reflected five depth zones across the shelf, namely beach, inner shelf (10-42 m), middle shelf (60-142 m), outer shelf (150-357 m) and shelf edge (348-412 m). The processes driving the community structure of these depth zones were postulated to be tides, wave turbulence, seasonal hypoxia, habitat stability and homogeneity, and internal tides and/or shelf break upwelling, with drivers listed in order of increasing influence with depth. The middle shelf was further separated into three distinct communities based on sediment type, sediment organic carbon content and frequency of hypoxia. Variations in water turbulence, sediment grain size, upwelling-related variables and riverine sediment input were identified as the likely primary drivers of macro-infaunal community patterns. This chapter culminated in the development of a biotope classification based on the combination of macro-infaunal communities and their physical habitats (i.e. biotopes). South Africa has developed an expert-derived National Marine and Coastal Habitat (SANMC) Classification System which is used as a biodiversity surrogate in ecosystem assessment and spatial planning. This thesis tested the validity of this classification and the data derived Seascape classification against macro-infauna species abundance and biomass data in an effort to determine how well the different classifications represent macro-infaunal diversity of the west coast. These two classifications were also compared to the Biotope classification which combines macro-infaunal communities with their physical habitats. A canonical analysis of principle coordinates (CAP) was utilised to test the success with which each sample was allocated to the relevant habitat type in each classification. The total allocation success for each classification was used as a measure of effectiveness in terms of representing biodiversity patterns. Both classifications had similar allocation successes of 89-92 percent and 92-94 percent for the Seascape and National Habitat Classification respectively, but either over- or under-classified the macrofauna communities. The Biotope classification had the highest allocation success (98 percent), therefore it is the most accurate reflection of the macrofauna biodiversity patterns on the west coast. A key finding of this study was the increasing accuracy of classifications from physically- to expert- to biologically-derived habitat classifications. In this thesis, the Biotope classification was deemed the best representative of biodiversity patterns and was therefore used to produce the Biotope map for use in spatial assessment and planning. The distinct depth patterns that emerged in both the Seascape and Biotope classifications highlighted the need for further investigation of the relationship between depth and biodiversity. Despite variability in macro-infaunal communities, a general unifying pattern in biodiversity across the shelf was sought. Three relationships between depth and species richness have been described in the literature; namely a unimodal pattern, a positively linear relationship with depth, and no relationship between depth and species richness. These hypotheses were tested on the west coast. Two different species richness metrics were utilised to test the depth-diversity relationship, namely observed species density (spp.0.2m-2) and estimated species richness (spp.site-1). Observed species density increased from the beach to the shelf edge (350 m), then decreased to 412 m. The decline may have been due to difficulty in detecting species at greater depths as a result of sampling challenges. The inclusion of an innovative extrapolative method for estimating species richness (the capture-recapture heterogeneity model) within the Bayesian statistical framework mitigated the effects of species detection heterogeneity and revealed that species richness actually increased continuously across the shelf from beach to shelf edge. Thus the general relationship between depth and species richness is positively linear on the west coast of South Africa The new macro-infauna dataset and biotope map provided the opportunity to develop the first habitat-specific evidence-based conservation targets for unconsolidated sediments of the west coast. Species-Area Relationship (SAR) based conservation targets were developed for the biotopes using a modification of the generally accepted methodology. The accepted methodology has three steps (i) the estimation of total species richness for each habitat using the Bootstrap asymptotic estimator, (ii) the calculation of the slope of the species area curve (i.e. the z-value), and (iii) the calculation of targets representing 80 percent of the species. The inclusion of an innovative extrapolative species richness estimator, the Multi-species Site Occupancy Model (MSOM) provided better species richness estimation than the more conventional bootstrap species richness estimator, even though both are based on species accumulation. The MSOM, applied in the Bayesian statistical framework takes detectability of a species into account.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Karenyi, Natasha
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Marine sediments -- Microbiology , Biotic communities , Ecosystem management , Conservation of natural resources
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10355 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020989
- Description: Marine unconsolidated sediments constitute the largest ecosystems on earth in terms of spatial coverage, but there are still critical gaps in the science required to support conservation and ecosystem-based management. This is mainly due to the inaccessibility of these ecosystems in wave-exposed environments or deeper waters and the difficulty in observing biota in their three-dimensional sedimentary habitat. Currently, the physical driving processes of intertidal unconsolidated sediment ecosystems are much better understood than those of the subtidal ecosystems. However, these ecosystems are linked through water and sediment movement. This thesis, therefore, considers the continuum of unconsolidated sediment ecosystems across the entire continental shelf (i.e. intertidal to the shelf edge). The aim of this thesis was two-fold; (i) to advance the foundational understanding of biodiversity patterns and driving processes in unconsolidated sediment habitats, and (ii) to apply this knowledge in the development of a systematic conservation plan for marine unconsolidated sediment ecosystems. The South African west coast continental shelf was used as a case study in order to represent Eastern boundary upwelling regions. This study sought to investigate biodiversity patterns in macro-infaunal communities and determine their driving processes for incorporation into habitat classifications and the development of a habitat map. Systematic conservation plans require a map of biodiversity patterns and processes, and quantitative conservation targets to ensure representation of all biodiversity features including habitats.in marine protected areas. This thesis provided these key elements by classifying the unconsolidated sediment habitats and determining habitat-specific evidence-based conservation targets to support conservation of these important ecosystems. The application of these elements was then demonstrated in a systematic conservation plan for the unconsolidated sediment ecosystems of the South African west coast. Diversity patterns were examined using physical and macro-infauna data, ranging from the beach to the shelf edge (0-412 m). These data were analysed to develop two different habitat classifications, namely seascapes derived from geophysical and biophysical data, and biotopes derived from the combination of macro-infaunal and physical data. Multivariate analyses of 13 physical variables identified eight seascapes for the unconsolidated sediment samples from 48 sites on the South African west coast. These were based on depth, slope, sediment type, and upwelling-related processes (i.e. maximum chlorophyll concentration, sediment organic carbon content and austral summer bottom oxygen concentration). Latitude and bottom temperature were not considered major drivers of seascapes on the west coast because latitude closely reflected changes in upwelling-related processes and the temperature range was narrow across the shelf. This study revealed that productivity, a biophysical variable not usually included in geo-physical habitat classifications, played a significant role in the definition of seascapes on the South African west coast. It is therefore recommended that productivity be included in future seascape classifications to improve the utility of these classifications particularly in areas of variable productivity. Seascapes should, however, be tested against biological data to improve the understanding of key physical drivers of communities in unconsolidated sediment ecosystems. Macro-infaunal community distributions were determined along with their physical drivers for the unconsolidated sediments of the South African west coast. A total of 44 828 individuals from 469 taxa were identified from 48 sites representing 46.2 m2 of seafloor. Seven distinct macro-infaunal communities were defined through multivariate analyses and their key characteristic and distinguishing species were identified. These communities reflected five depth zones across the shelf, namely beach, inner shelf (10-42 m), middle shelf (60-142 m), outer shelf (150-357 m) and shelf edge (348-412 m). The processes driving the community structure of these depth zones were postulated to be tides, wave turbulence, seasonal hypoxia, habitat stability and homogeneity, and internal tides and/or shelf break upwelling, with drivers listed in order of increasing influence with depth. The middle shelf was further separated into three distinct communities based on sediment type, sediment organic carbon content and frequency of hypoxia. Variations in water turbulence, sediment grain size, upwelling-related variables and riverine sediment input were identified as the likely primary drivers of macro-infaunal community patterns. This chapter culminated in the development of a biotope classification based on the combination of macro-infaunal communities and their physical habitats (i.e. biotopes). South Africa has developed an expert-derived National Marine and Coastal Habitat (SANMC) Classification System which is used as a biodiversity surrogate in ecosystem assessment and spatial planning. This thesis tested the validity of this classification and the data derived Seascape classification against macro-infauna species abundance and biomass data in an effort to determine how well the different classifications represent macro-infaunal diversity of the west coast. These two classifications were also compared to the Biotope classification which combines macro-infaunal communities with their physical habitats. A canonical analysis of principle coordinates (CAP) was utilised to test the success with which each sample was allocated to the relevant habitat type in each classification. The total allocation success for each classification was used as a measure of effectiveness in terms of representing biodiversity patterns. Both classifications had similar allocation successes of 89-92 percent and 92-94 percent for the Seascape and National Habitat Classification respectively, but either over- or under-classified the macrofauna communities. The Biotope classification had the highest allocation success (98 percent), therefore it is the most accurate reflection of the macrofauna biodiversity patterns on the west coast. A key finding of this study was the increasing accuracy of classifications from physically- to expert- to biologically-derived habitat classifications. In this thesis, the Biotope classification was deemed the best representative of biodiversity patterns and was therefore used to produce the Biotope map for use in spatial assessment and planning. The distinct depth patterns that emerged in both the Seascape and Biotope classifications highlighted the need for further investigation of the relationship between depth and biodiversity. Despite variability in macro-infaunal communities, a general unifying pattern in biodiversity across the shelf was sought. Three relationships between depth and species richness have been described in the literature; namely a unimodal pattern, a positively linear relationship with depth, and no relationship between depth and species richness. These hypotheses were tested on the west coast. Two different species richness metrics were utilised to test the depth-diversity relationship, namely observed species density (spp.0.2m-2) and estimated species richness (spp.site-1). Observed species density increased from the beach to the shelf edge (350 m), then decreased to 412 m. The decline may have been due to difficulty in detecting species at greater depths as a result of sampling challenges. The inclusion of an innovative extrapolative method for estimating species richness (the capture-recapture heterogeneity model) within the Bayesian statistical framework mitigated the effects of species detection heterogeneity and revealed that species richness actually increased continuously across the shelf from beach to shelf edge. Thus the general relationship between depth and species richness is positively linear on the west coast of South Africa The new macro-infauna dataset and biotope map provided the opportunity to develop the first habitat-specific evidence-based conservation targets for unconsolidated sediments of the west coast. Species-Area Relationship (SAR) based conservation targets were developed for the biotopes using a modification of the generally accepted methodology. The accepted methodology has three steps (i) the estimation of total species richness for each habitat using the Bootstrap asymptotic estimator, (ii) the calculation of the slope of the species area curve (i.e. the z-value), and (iii) the calculation of targets representing 80 percent of the species. The inclusion of an innovative extrapolative species richness estimator, the Multi-species Site Occupancy Model (MSOM) provided better species richness estimation than the more conventional bootstrap species richness estimator, even though both are based on species accumulation. The MSOM, applied in the Bayesian statistical framework takes detectability of a species into account.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Development of a bulbine frutescens and carpobrotus edulis cream in collaboration with african traditional healers of the Nelson Mandela Metropole
- Authors: Keele, Mbali Zamathiyane
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Drug development -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth , Healers -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth , Traditional medicine -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth , Physicians -- Health -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10358 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021016
- Description: Collaborations between researchers and African traditional healers on medicinal plants need to go beyond the flow of information from African traditional healers to researchers. Mutual beneficiation wherein African traditional healers reap rewards due to the information they possess is necessary and has been legislated in South Africa. The manner in which such beneficiation occurs and how it will be distributed should be subject to negotiation between (a) the researchers and holders of indigenous knowledge and (b) among holders of indigenous knowledge themselves. Beneficiation can be in the form of access to information, monetary or through shares in commercialised products, amongst others. African traditional healers involved in the collaboration with researchers of the Department of Biochemistry and Microbiology and the Department of Pharmacy at the Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University beneficiated by having access to knowledge and medicinal plants cultivated in the medicinal garden. Beneficiation was expected to extend to monetary gains from the sale of sewn garments and plants from a medicinal plants nursery which was to be developed and from a herbal topical product which was also to be developed. The aim of this research project was to develop a wound healing herbal cream consisting of Bulbine frutescens and Carpobrotus edulis as active ingredients. B. frutescens demonstrated better wound closure properties when compared to C. edulis and the combined extracts. The scratch assay wound was completely closed after 24 hours at B. frutescens concentrations of 5 μg/ml and 10 μg/ml. B. frutescens was more toxic to 3t3-L1 cells than C. edulis, but it was less toxic than the combined extracts. None of the extracts were toxic to Vero cells and the combined extracts significantly promoted their proliferation. Antibacterial activity of all the extracts was low. C. edulis showed antiviral activity against human herpes simplex virus 1 at 62.5, 125 and 250 μg/ml, while the combined extracts were active at 250 μg/ml. The combined extracts exhibited synergistic antioxidant activity. A reverse phase, gradient, high performance liquid chromatography method was developed and validated and used to conduct quality control tests on the extracts and the finished product. It was concluded that the use of whole chromatographic data instead of common peaks data is best for analysis of medicinal plants. The cream that was developed used buffered cream as the base and was stable at 25 °C/65 percent RH for one month with regard to organoleptic and rheological properties and microbial preservation.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Keele, Mbali Zamathiyane
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Drug development -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth , Healers -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth , Traditional medicine -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth , Physicians -- Health -- South Africa -- Port Elizabeth
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10358 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021016
- Description: Collaborations between researchers and African traditional healers on medicinal plants need to go beyond the flow of information from African traditional healers to researchers. Mutual beneficiation wherein African traditional healers reap rewards due to the information they possess is necessary and has been legislated in South Africa. The manner in which such beneficiation occurs and how it will be distributed should be subject to negotiation between (a) the researchers and holders of indigenous knowledge and (b) among holders of indigenous knowledge themselves. Beneficiation can be in the form of access to information, monetary or through shares in commercialised products, amongst others. African traditional healers involved in the collaboration with researchers of the Department of Biochemistry and Microbiology and the Department of Pharmacy at the Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University beneficiated by having access to knowledge and medicinal plants cultivated in the medicinal garden. Beneficiation was expected to extend to monetary gains from the sale of sewn garments and plants from a medicinal plants nursery which was to be developed and from a herbal topical product which was also to be developed. The aim of this research project was to develop a wound healing herbal cream consisting of Bulbine frutescens and Carpobrotus edulis as active ingredients. B. frutescens demonstrated better wound closure properties when compared to C. edulis and the combined extracts. The scratch assay wound was completely closed after 24 hours at B. frutescens concentrations of 5 μg/ml and 10 μg/ml. B. frutescens was more toxic to 3t3-L1 cells than C. edulis, but it was less toxic than the combined extracts. None of the extracts were toxic to Vero cells and the combined extracts significantly promoted their proliferation. Antibacterial activity of all the extracts was low. C. edulis showed antiviral activity against human herpes simplex virus 1 at 62.5, 125 and 250 μg/ml, while the combined extracts were active at 250 μg/ml. The combined extracts exhibited synergistic antioxidant activity. A reverse phase, gradient, high performance liquid chromatography method was developed and validated and used to conduct quality control tests on the extracts and the finished product. It was concluded that the use of whole chromatographic data instead of common peaks data is best for analysis of medicinal plants. The cream that was developed used buffered cream as the base and was stable at 25 °C/65 percent RH for one month with regard to organoleptic and rheological properties and microbial preservation.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Isolation, purification and partial characterisation of cancer procoagulant from placental amnion-chorion membranes and its role in angiogenesis inflammation and metastasis
- Authors: Krause, Jason
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Coagulation , Amnion , Chorion , Metastasis , Inflammation , Neovascularization
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10350 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020897
- Description: Cancer procoagulant (EC 3.4.22.26) is an enzyme that is derived from tumour and foetal tissue, but not normal tissue. It is a direct activator of factor X and has been isolated from amnion-chorion membranes as well as from extracts and cells from human melanoma. The presence of cancer procoagulant has been associated with the malignant phenotype, as well as having a particularly high activity in metastatic cells. Cancer procoagulant activity is elevated in the serum of early stage breast cancer patients and decreased to normal in the advanced stages of the disease. In this study, cancer procoagulant was successfully isolated from amnion-chorion membranes and purified to homogeneity. The molecular weight of cancer procoagulant was determined using SDS-PAGE and was found to be 68 kDa. Cancer procoagulant was delipidated and it was shown that its activity was increased by the presence of lipids in a dose-dependent manner. Recovery of cancer procoagulant after delipidation is poor, consequently, a larger mass of sample is required to obtain sufficient amounts of delipidated material for N-terminal amino acid analysis. The optimum pH of cancer procoagulant was determined to be pH 8 and its optimal temperature was found to be 50°C. Novel synthetic substrates were designed to assay for cancer procoagulant activity. Currently, 2 potential candidates have been identified, namely, PQVR-AMC and AVSQSKP-AMC. Cancer procoagulant-induced expression of cytokines is differently modulated in the less aggressive MCF-7 cell line as compared to the metastatic and more aggressive MDA-MB-231 cell line. There are marked similarities in the inflammatory response produced by cancer procoagulant in hTERT-HDLEC and MDA-MB-231 cells, which are both associated with migratory capacity. Furthermore, cancer procoagulant-induced PDGF-β expression in hTERT-HDLEC and MDA-MB-231 cells could point to involvement of cancer procoagulant in wound healing and metastatic spread, respectively. Cancer procoagulant induced the motility of MDA-MB-231, MCF-7 and hTERT- cells in vitro in a time- and dose-dependent manner. Together, these results suggest that cancer procoagulant plays a role in the migration of breast cancer cells as well as the migration of endothelial cells.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Krause, Jason
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Coagulation , Amnion , Chorion , Metastasis , Inflammation , Neovascularization
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10350 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020897
- Description: Cancer procoagulant (EC 3.4.22.26) is an enzyme that is derived from tumour and foetal tissue, but not normal tissue. It is a direct activator of factor X and has been isolated from amnion-chorion membranes as well as from extracts and cells from human melanoma. The presence of cancer procoagulant has been associated with the malignant phenotype, as well as having a particularly high activity in metastatic cells. Cancer procoagulant activity is elevated in the serum of early stage breast cancer patients and decreased to normal in the advanced stages of the disease. In this study, cancer procoagulant was successfully isolated from amnion-chorion membranes and purified to homogeneity. The molecular weight of cancer procoagulant was determined using SDS-PAGE and was found to be 68 kDa. Cancer procoagulant was delipidated and it was shown that its activity was increased by the presence of lipids in a dose-dependent manner. Recovery of cancer procoagulant after delipidation is poor, consequently, a larger mass of sample is required to obtain sufficient amounts of delipidated material for N-terminal amino acid analysis. The optimum pH of cancer procoagulant was determined to be pH 8 and its optimal temperature was found to be 50°C. Novel synthetic substrates were designed to assay for cancer procoagulant activity. Currently, 2 potential candidates have been identified, namely, PQVR-AMC and AVSQSKP-AMC. Cancer procoagulant-induced expression of cytokines is differently modulated in the less aggressive MCF-7 cell line as compared to the metastatic and more aggressive MDA-MB-231 cell line. There are marked similarities in the inflammatory response produced by cancer procoagulant in hTERT-HDLEC and MDA-MB-231 cells, which are both associated with migratory capacity. Furthermore, cancer procoagulant-induced PDGF-β expression in hTERT-HDLEC and MDA-MB-231 cells could point to involvement of cancer procoagulant in wound healing and metastatic spread, respectively. Cancer procoagulant induced the motility of MDA-MB-231, MCF-7 and hTERT- cells in vitro in a time- and dose-dependent manner. Together, these results suggest that cancer procoagulant plays a role in the migration of breast cancer cells as well as the migration of endothelial cells.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Separation of rhodium (III) and iridium (IV) using functional polymeric materials
- Authors: Majavu, Avela
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Rhodium -- Separation , Iridium -- Separation
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/6576 , vital:21116
- Description: Poly(vinylbenzylchloride) (PVBC) nanofibers were fabricated by the electrospinning process. The Merrifield micropheres, silica microsparticles and PVBC nanofibers were functionalised with different quaternary diammonium groups derived from ethylenediamine (EDA), tetramethylenediamine (TMDA), hexamethylenediamine (HMDA), 1,8-diaminooctane (OMDA), 1,10-diaminodecane (DMDA) and 1,12-diaminododecane (DDMDA) and investigated for separation of [RhCl5(H2O)]2- and [IrCl6]2-. The sorbent materials were characterised by means of FTIR, XPS, SEM, BET surface area, thermogravimetric analysis and elemental analysis, and characterization results showed that the functionalization of the sorbent materials was successful. Batch equilibrium studies were carried out to assess the efficiency of these different anion exchangers using single metal aqueous solutions. The adsorption isotherms and kinetics of both [RhCl5(H2O)]2- and [IrCl6]2- adsorption onto the sorbent materials are presented. The isothermal batch adsorption studies fitted the Freundlich model indicating heterogeneous surface adsorption. The Freundlich isotherm confirmed multilayer adsorption and the Freundlich constant (kf) displayed the following ascending order for nanofibers (F-QUAT EDA, F-QUAT TMDA, F-QUAT HMDA, F-QUAT OMDA and F-QUAT DMDA), silica microparticles (Si-QUAT EDA, Si-QUAT TMDA, Si-QUAT HMDA, Si-QUAT OMDA and Si-QUAT DMDA) and microspheres (B-QUAT EDA, B-QUAT TMDA, B-QUAT HMDA, B-QUAT OMDA and B-QUAT DMDA) and a decrease in kf for F-QUAT DDMDA, Si-QUAT DDMDA and B-QUAT DDMDA has been observed. The pseudo second-order model was found to be the best fit to describe the adsorption kinetics of both metal ions complexes onto all the sorbent materials. K2 value in pseudo second-order kinetics showed that the rate constant for adsorption of [IrCl6]2- onto nanofibers was larger than for silica microparticles and Merrifield microspheres. Column sorption of [IrCl6]2- and [RhCl5(H2O)]2- was carried out and the loading capacities of [IrCl6]2- were obtained, and they showed dependence on the length of the methylene spacer between the two diammonium centres. [RhCl5(H2O)]2- was not adsorbed by the sorbent materials while [IrCl6]2- was loaded onto the column. The highest iridium loading capacities for all the sorbent materials for the diamines with decylene spacer, and were found to be 32.94 mg/g, 29.35 mg/g, and 27.09 mg/g for F-QUAT DMDA, Si-QUAT DMDA and B-QUAT DMDA respectively. It was also observed on the derivatives of DMDA supported on nanofibers that F-QUAT ethyl loading capacity for iridium (19.89 mg/g) reduced which may be due to the electron-donating nature of the ethyl group and the increase of hydrophobicity whereas F-QUAT benzyl loading capacity (244.64 mg/g) increased dramatically due to increase in the size of the cation which lowers the positive charge density of the quaternary diammonium center. The charge delocalizing ability of the benzyl group resulted in the best interaction of the diammonium group derived from this quaternizing agent, yielding the highest loading capacity for [IrCl6]2-. Reusability was conducted and the results showed that the all the sorbent materials can be used repeatedly without decreasing their adsorption capacity significantly. The neat diammonium salts were also synthesized and interacted with the chorido metal complex anions to form ion-pairs which were then studied for their solubility. The synthesis of the quaternary salts was rather challenging and resulted in some interesting species when impurities of the iodide form of the salts were present in the process of converting them to the iodide form. Some of these include I52+, which was confirmed preliminarily by X-ray structural analysis, potentiometry and cyclic voltammetry. Molecular modeling studies were also conducted to explain the interaction of the chlorido anions with the cationic diammonium centres, and to quantify these interactions by thermodynamic parameters, partial charge calculations, dipole moments and electrostatic potentials, and there was good agreement between theory and experiment. This thesis presents iridium-specific materials that could be applied in solutions of secondary PMGs sources containing rhodium and iridium as well as in feed solutions from ore processing.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Majavu, Avela
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Rhodium -- Separation , Iridium -- Separation
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/6576 , vital:21116
- Description: Poly(vinylbenzylchloride) (PVBC) nanofibers were fabricated by the electrospinning process. The Merrifield micropheres, silica microsparticles and PVBC nanofibers were functionalised with different quaternary diammonium groups derived from ethylenediamine (EDA), tetramethylenediamine (TMDA), hexamethylenediamine (HMDA), 1,8-diaminooctane (OMDA), 1,10-diaminodecane (DMDA) and 1,12-diaminododecane (DDMDA) and investigated for separation of [RhCl5(H2O)]2- and [IrCl6]2-. The sorbent materials were characterised by means of FTIR, XPS, SEM, BET surface area, thermogravimetric analysis and elemental analysis, and characterization results showed that the functionalization of the sorbent materials was successful. Batch equilibrium studies were carried out to assess the efficiency of these different anion exchangers using single metal aqueous solutions. The adsorption isotherms and kinetics of both [RhCl5(H2O)]2- and [IrCl6]2- adsorption onto the sorbent materials are presented. The isothermal batch adsorption studies fitted the Freundlich model indicating heterogeneous surface adsorption. The Freundlich isotherm confirmed multilayer adsorption and the Freundlich constant (kf) displayed the following ascending order for nanofibers (F-QUAT EDA, F-QUAT TMDA, F-QUAT HMDA, F-QUAT OMDA and F-QUAT DMDA), silica microparticles (Si-QUAT EDA, Si-QUAT TMDA, Si-QUAT HMDA, Si-QUAT OMDA and Si-QUAT DMDA) and microspheres (B-QUAT EDA, B-QUAT TMDA, B-QUAT HMDA, B-QUAT OMDA and B-QUAT DMDA) and a decrease in kf for F-QUAT DDMDA, Si-QUAT DDMDA and B-QUAT DDMDA has been observed. The pseudo second-order model was found to be the best fit to describe the adsorption kinetics of both metal ions complexes onto all the sorbent materials. K2 value in pseudo second-order kinetics showed that the rate constant for adsorption of [IrCl6]2- onto nanofibers was larger than for silica microparticles and Merrifield microspheres. Column sorption of [IrCl6]2- and [RhCl5(H2O)]2- was carried out and the loading capacities of [IrCl6]2- were obtained, and they showed dependence on the length of the methylene spacer between the two diammonium centres. [RhCl5(H2O)]2- was not adsorbed by the sorbent materials while [IrCl6]2- was loaded onto the column. The highest iridium loading capacities for all the sorbent materials for the diamines with decylene spacer, and were found to be 32.94 mg/g, 29.35 mg/g, and 27.09 mg/g for F-QUAT DMDA, Si-QUAT DMDA and B-QUAT DMDA respectively. It was also observed on the derivatives of DMDA supported on nanofibers that F-QUAT ethyl loading capacity for iridium (19.89 mg/g) reduced which may be due to the electron-donating nature of the ethyl group and the increase of hydrophobicity whereas F-QUAT benzyl loading capacity (244.64 mg/g) increased dramatically due to increase in the size of the cation which lowers the positive charge density of the quaternary diammonium center. The charge delocalizing ability of the benzyl group resulted in the best interaction of the diammonium group derived from this quaternizing agent, yielding the highest loading capacity for [IrCl6]2-. Reusability was conducted and the results showed that the all the sorbent materials can be used repeatedly without decreasing their adsorption capacity significantly. The neat diammonium salts were also synthesized and interacted with the chorido metal complex anions to form ion-pairs which were then studied for their solubility. The synthesis of the quaternary salts was rather challenging and resulted in some interesting species when impurities of the iodide form of the salts were present in the process of converting them to the iodide form. Some of these include I52+, which was confirmed preliminarily by X-ray structural analysis, potentiometry and cyclic voltammetry. Molecular modeling studies were also conducted to explain the interaction of the chlorido anions with the cationic diammonium centres, and to quantify these interactions by thermodynamic parameters, partial charge calculations, dipole moments and electrostatic potentials, and there was good agreement between theory and experiment. This thesis presents iridium-specific materials that could be applied in solutions of secondary PMGs sources containing rhodium and iridium as well as in feed solutions from ore processing.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
On the electrical characterisation of bulk and epitaxial n-type Te doped GaSb
- Authors: Murape, Davison Munyaradzi
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Gallium arsenide semiconductors , Electronics
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10554 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020763
- Description: Since the development of the transistor in the Bell Telephone Laboratories in 1948 [78], the semiconductor industry has transformed the world we live in. It is difficult to picture a world without the modern day cutting edge technology. Imagine performing every day functions without “trivial” devices such as computers, cell phones or microwave ovens. The ability to tailor the band gaps of various binary, ternary and quaternary semiconductor systems has opened up a whole new spectrum of potential purpose designed devices [27]. This thesis focuses on the electronic properties of gallium (III) antimonide (V). The antimonides, in general, have the smallest band gap and highest electron mobility of the III-V compound semiconductors and are well suited for long wavelength emission and detection as well as high frequency switching device applications. Furthermore, III-V ternaries and quaternaries, such as (AlGaIn)(AsSb), lattice matched to gallium antimonide (GaSb) are considered serious competitors for HgCdTe and PbSe in long-wavelength infrared (LWIR) and very long-wavelength infrared (VLWIR) technology [4, 10, 11]. Epitaxial material systems based on GaSb are suitable for a wide range of applications such as missile and surveillance systems and a host of other military and civil applications. In addition, an assortment of devices on InAs, GaSb, and AlSb, including resonant tunnelling devices, infrared detectors and mid-infrared semiconductor lasers have been demonstrated [14, 15]. Furthermore, antimonide based devices could potentially reduce optical fibre power loss by a few orders of magnitude, as their implementation can lead to use of non-silica based optical fibres that minimise Raleigh scatter related power loss [8]. GaSb related technology faces a number of challenges. A significant amount of effort is required to exploit the potential it offers. GaSb oxidises readily in the ambient, resulting in the formation of a native oxide layer as well as deposits of elemental antimony (Sb) at the oxide/substrate interface therefore it has poor surface electronic properties resulting from high surface state densities[4, 17, 18]. As grown GaSb is characterised by a high density of surface states of which many are classified as non-radiative (Auger) recombination centres. The elemental Sb layer constitutes an unwanted conduction path parallel to the active surface region [17]. The potential that GaSb and GaSb-based strained layer superlattices offer as successors to the current generation of LWIR and VLWIR optoelectronic materials has therefore been largely impeded [4]. Furthermore, processing steps in device fabrication leads to an unintentionally damaged GaSb surface exacerbating the situation. Any efforts to engineer devices of superior quality on GaSb have to address these and more material specific problems [19]. This study attempts to contribute towards an improved understanding of the structural and electrical properties of the near surface region of Te-doped bulk (100) and MOVPE grown epitaxial Te doped n- GaSb. The main focus of this study is to develop means to de-oxidise and stabilize the highly reactive GaSb surface and to develop diode structures to demonstrate the improved interface characteristics and use related current–voltage (I-V) measurements to quantify the surface state density before and after treatment. These devices were also used to probe the near surface region for electrically active deep level defects that often act as non-radiative recombination centers. Au, Pd and Al were used as metals to establish a metal semiconductor barrier and subsequent depletion region. Sulphur based chemicals, ([(NH4)2S / (NH4)2SO4] + S), not previously reported for the treatment of (100) n-GaSb surfaces, and the commonly used passivants Na2S:9H2O and (NH4)2S were compared by assessing the electrical and structural properties both before and after treatment. The effect of treatment on the electrical response of the material was determined using current-voltage, capacitance-voltage (C-V) and deep level transient spectroscopy (DLTS) measurements, while the surface morphology and composition were studied by SEM, AES and XPS.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Murape, Davison Munyaradzi
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Gallium arsenide semiconductors , Electronics
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10554 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020763
- Description: Since the development of the transistor in the Bell Telephone Laboratories in 1948 [78], the semiconductor industry has transformed the world we live in. It is difficult to picture a world without the modern day cutting edge technology. Imagine performing every day functions without “trivial” devices such as computers, cell phones or microwave ovens. The ability to tailor the band gaps of various binary, ternary and quaternary semiconductor systems has opened up a whole new spectrum of potential purpose designed devices [27]. This thesis focuses on the electronic properties of gallium (III) antimonide (V). The antimonides, in general, have the smallest band gap and highest electron mobility of the III-V compound semiconductors and are well suited for long wavelength emission and detection as well as high frequency switching device applications. Furthermore, III-V ternaries and quaternaries, such as (AlGaIn)(AsSb), lattice matched to gallium antimonide (GaSb) are considered serious competitors for HgCdTe and PbSe in long-wavelength infrared (LWIR) and very long-wavelength infrared (VLWIR) technology [4, 10, 11]. Epitaxial material systems based on GaSb are suitable for a wide range of applications such as missile and surveillance systems and a host of other military and civil applications. In addition, an assortment of devices on InAs, GaSb, and AlSb, including resonant tunnelling devices, infrared detectors and mid-infrared semiconductor lasers have been demonstrated [14, 15]. Furthermore, antimonide based devices could potentially reduce optical fibre power loss by a few orders of magnitude, as their implementation can lead to use of non-silica based optical fibres that minimise Raleigh scatter related power loss [8]. GaSb related technology faces a number of challenges. A significant amount of effort is required to exploit the potential it offers. GaSb oxidises readily in the ambient, resulting in the formation of a native oxide layer as well as deposits of elemental antimony (Sb) at the oxide/substrate interface therefore it has poor surface electronic properties resulting from high surface state densities[4, 17, 18]. As grown GaSb is characterised by a high density of surface states of which many are classified as non-radiative (Auger) recombination centres. The elemental Sb layer constitutes an unwanted conduction path parallel to the active surface region [17]. The potential that GaSb and GaSb-based strained layer superlattices offer as successors to the current generation of LWIR and VLWIR optoelectronic materials has therefore been largely impeded [4]. Furthermore, processing steps in device fabrication leads to an unintentionally damaged GaSb surface exacerbating the situation. Any efforts to engineer devices of superior quality on GaSb have to address these and more material specific problems [19]. This study attempts to contribute towards an improved understanding of the structural and electrical properties of the near surface region of Te-doped bulk (100) and MOVPE grown epitaxial Te doped n- GaSb. The main focus of this study is to develop means to de-oxidise and stabilize the highly reactive GaSb surface and to develop diode structures to demonstrate the improved interface characteristics and use related current–voltage (I-V) measurements to quantify the surface state density before and after treatment. These devices were also used to probe the near surface region for electrically active deep level defects that often act as non-radiative recombination centers. Au, Pd and Al were used as metals to establish a metal semiconductor barrier and subsequent depletion region. Sulphur based chemicals, ([(NH4)2S / (NH4)2SO4] + S), not previously reported for the treatment of (100) n-GaSb surfaces, and the commonly used passivants Na2S:9H2O and (NH4)2S were compared by assessing the electrical and structural properties both before and after treatment. The effect of treatment on the electrical response of the material was determined using current-voltage, capacitance-voltage (C-V) and deep level transient spectroscopy (DLTS) measurements, while the surface morphology and composition were studied by SEM, AES and XPS.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Statistical modelling for detection of fraudulent activity on banking cards
- Authors: Nasila, Mark Wopicho
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Mathematical statistics Mathematical models , Statistics Bank fraud
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/45887 , vital:39314
- Description: The current global recession has highlighted the fragile banking and related systems exposure to risks and acts of fraud. As a result of the ever changing information technology environment, where the internet has become an important retail sector channel, new fraud challenges are being encountered. The rapid growth in credit and cheque card transactions as a payment mechanism has led to an increase in card fraud. Approximately 70% of consumers utilising credit and cheque cards, as payment mechanisms, are significantly concerned about fraud (McAlearney, 2008). Additionally, credit card fraud has broader negative implications, such as funding organised crime, international narcotics trafficking and even the financing of terrorist activities. The first section of this study develops classification models that will improve on existing methods used to detect fraud and, as a result thereof, reduce the number of fraudulent transactions. Using confidential data obtained from a South African Bank, logistic regression and scoring techniques have been combined to develop a classification model that improves on the existing fraudulent identification methods. Using the methods developed in this study, a higher percentage of fraudulent transactions are classified correctly when compared to discriminant analysis, a method often used to identify fraudulent transactions. These models enable the banking business to identify demographic, socio-economic and banking-specific determinants which contribute significantly towards fraudulent transactions. The early detection methods will allow banks to put in place measures that will reduce the occurrence of fraudulent transactions on customer’s cards. The second section involves understanding how card holders and merchants contribute towards the occurrence of fraudulent incidents. This was achieved through two surveys which were carried out in the Johannesburg metropolitan area. These surveys aimed at understanding the perceptions of card holders and merchants with regard to aspects pertaining to card fraud contributed towards the occurrence of card fraud. Multinomial logistic regression (MLR) is used to classify card holders and merchants according to their likelihood of experiencing card fraud incidents. These results are based on their perceptions of certain aspects related to card fraud as obtained from the survey instruments.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Nasila, Mark Wopicho
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Mathematical statistics Mathematical models , Statistics Bank fraud
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/45887 , vital:39314
- Description: The current global recession has highlighted the fragile banking and related systems exposure to risks and acts of fraud. As a result of the ever changing information technology environment, where the internet has become an important retail sector channel, new fraud challenges are being encountered. The rapid growth in credit and cheque card transactions as a payment mechanism has led to an increase in card fraud. Approximately 70% of consumers utilising credit and cheque cards, as payment mechanisms, are significantly concerned about fraud (McAlearney, 2008). Additionally, credit card fraud has broader negative implications, such as funding organised crime, international narcotics trafficking and even the financing of terrorist activities. The first section of this study develops classification models that will improve on existing methods used to detect fraud and, as a result thereof, reduce the number of fraudulent transactions. Using confidential data obtained from a South African Bank, logistic regression and scoring techniques have been combined to develop a classification model that improves on the existing fraudulent identification methods. Using the methods developed in this study, a higher percentage of fraudulent transactions are classified correctly when compared to discriminant analysis, a method often used to identify fraudulent transactions. These models enable the banking business to identify demographic, socio-economic and banking-specific determinants which contribute significantly towards fraudulent transactions. The early detection methods will allow banks to put in place measures that will reduce the occurrence of fraudulent transactions on customer’s cards. The second section involves understanding how card holders and merchants contribute towards the occurrence of fraudulent incidents. This was achieved through two surveys which were carried out in the Johannesburg metropolitan area. These surveys aimed at understanding the perceptions of card holders and merchants with regard to aspects pertaining to card fraud contributed towards the occurrence of card fraud. Multinomial logistic regression (MLR) is used to classify card holders and merchants according to their likelihood of experiencing card fraud incidents. These results are based on their perceptions of certain aspects related to card fraud as obtained from the survey instruments.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
A method for the evaluation of similarity measures on graphs and network-structured data
- Authors: Naude, Kevin Alexander
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Graph theory , Network analysis (Planning)
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: vital:10494
- Description: Measures of similarity play a subtle but important role in a large number of disciplines. For example, a researcher in bioinformatics may devise a new computed measure of similarity between biological structures, and use its scores to infer bio-logical association. Other academics may use related approaches in structured text search, or for object recognition in computer vision. These are diverse and practical applications of similarity. A critical question is this: to what extent can a given similarity measure be trusted? This is a difficult problem, at the heart of which lies the broader issue: what exactly constitutes good similarity judgement? This research presents the view that similarity measures have properties of judgement that are intrinsic to their formulation, and that such properties are measurable. The problem of comparing similarity measures is one of identifying ground-truths for similarity. The approach taken in this work is to examine the relative ordering of graph pairs, when compared with respect to a common reference graph. Ground- truth outcomes are obtained from a novel theory: the theory of irreducible change in graphs. This theory supports stronger claims than those made for edit distances. Whereas edit distances are sensitive to a configuration of costs, irreducible change under the new theory is independent of such parameters. Ground-truth data is obtained by isolating test cases for which a common outcome is assured for all possible least measures of change that can be formulated within a chosen change descriptor space. By isolating these specific cases, and excluding others, the research introduces a framework for evaluating similarity measures on mathematically defensible grounds. The evaluation method is demonstrated in a series of case studies which evaluate the similarity performance of known graph similarity measures. The findings of these experiments provide the first general characterisation of common similarity measures over a wide range of graph properties. The similarity computed from the maximum common induced subgraph (Dice-MCIS) is shown to provide good general similarity judgement. However, it is shown that Blondel's similarity measure can exceed the judgement sensitivity of Dice-MCIS, provided the graphs have both sufficient attribute label diversity, and edge density. The final contribution is the introduction of a new similarity measure for graphs, which is shown to have statistically greater judgement sensitivity than all other measures examined. All of these findings are made possible through the theory of irreducible change in graphs. The research provides the first mathematical basis for reasoning about the quality of similarity judgments. This enables researchers to analyse similarity measures directly, making similarity measures first class objects of scientific inquiry.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Naude, Kevin Alexander
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Graph theory , Network analysis (Planning)
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: vital:10494
- Description: Measures of similarity play a subtle but important role in a large number of disciplines. For example, a researcher in bioinformatics may devise a new computed measure of similarity between biological structures, and use its scores to infer bio-logical association. Other academics may use related approaches in structured text search, or for object recognition in computer vision. These are diverse and practical applications of similarity. A critical question is this: to what extent can a given similarity measure be trusted? This is a difficult problem, at the heart of which lies the broader issue: what exactly constitutes good similarity judgement? This research presents the view that similarity measures have properties of judgement that are intrinsic to their formulation, and that such properties are measurable. The problem of comparing similarity measures is one of identifying ground-truths for similarity. The approach taken in this work is to examine the relative ordering of graph pairs, when compared with respect to a common reference graph. Ground- truth outcomes are obtained from a novel theory: the theory of irreducible change in graphs. This theory supports stronger claims than those made for edit distances. Whereas edit distances are sensitive to a configuration of costs, irreducible change under the new theory is independent of such parameters. Ground-truth data is obtained by isolating test cases for which a common outcome is assured for all possible least measures of change that can be formulated within a chosen change descriptor space. By isolating these specific cases, and excluding others, the research introduces a framework for evaluating similarity measures on mathematically defensible grounds. The evaluation method is demonstrated in a series of case studies which evaluate the similarity performance of known graph similarity measures. The findings of these experiments provide the first general characterisation of common similarity measures over a wide range of graph properties. The similarity computed from the maximum common induced subgraph (Dice-MCIS) is shown to provide good general similarity judgement. However, it is shown that Blondel's similarity measure can exceed the judgement sensitivity of Dice-MCIS, provided the graphs have both sufficient attribute label diversity, and edge density. The final contribution is the introduction of a new similarity measure for graphs, which is shown to have statistically greater judgement sensitivity than all other measures examined. All of these findings are made possible through the theory of irreducible change in graphs. The research provides the first mathematical basis for reasoning about the quality of similarity judgments. This enables researchers to analyse similarity measures directly, making similarity measures first class objects of scientific inquiry.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
A context-aware model to improve usability of information presented on mobile devices
- Authors: Ntawanga, Felix Fred
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Context-aware computing , Online information services
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10495 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020768
- Description: Online information access on mobile devices is increasing as a result of the growth in the use of Internet-enabled handheld (or pocket-size) devices. The combined influence of recent enabling technologies such as Web 2.0, mobile app stores and improved wireless networks have driven the increase in online applications that allow users to access various types of information on mobile devices regardless of time and location. Examples of such applications (usually shortened to app) include: social media, such as FacebookTM App and TwitterTM App, banking applications such as (Standard Bank South Africa)TM Mobile Banking App and First National Bank (FNB) BankingTM App, and news application such as news 24TM App and BBCTM News App. Online businesses involved in buying, selling and business transaction processing activities via the Internet have exploited the opportunity to extend electronic commerce (e-commerce) initiatives into mobile commerce (m-commerce). Online businesses that interact with end user customers implement business to consumer (B2C) m-commerce applications that enable customers to access and browse product catalogue information on mobile devices, anytime, anywhere. Customers accessing electronic product catalogue information on a mobile device face a number of challenges such as a long list of products presented on a small screen and a longer information download time. These challenges mainly originate from the limiting and dynamic nature of the mobile apps operating environment, for example, dynamic location, bandwidth fluctuations and, diverse and limited device features, collectively referred to as context. The goal of this research was to design and implement a context-aware model that can be incorporated into an m-commerce application in order to improve the presentation of product catalogue information on m-commerce storefronts. The motivation for selecting product catalogue is prompted by literature which indicates that improved presentation of information in m-commerce (and e-commerce) applications has a positive impact on usability of the websites. Usable m-commerce (and e-commerce) websites improve efficiency in consumer behaviour that impacts sales, profits and business growth. The context-aware model aimed at collecting context information within the user environment and utilising it to determine optimal retrieval and presentation of product catalogue in m-commerce. An integrated logical context sensor and Mathematical algorithms were implemented in the context-aware model. The integrated logical context sensor was responsible for the collection of different types of predetermined context information such as device specification or capabilities, connection bandwidth, location and time of the day as well as the user profile. The algorithms transformed the collected context information into usable formats and enabled optimal retrieval and presentation of product catalogue data on a specific mobile device. Open-source implementation tools were utilised to implement components of the model including: HTML5, PhP, JavaScript and MySQL database. The context-aware model was incorporated into an existing m-commerce application. Two user evaluation studies were conducted during the course of the research. The first evaluation was to evaluate the accuracy of information collected by the context sensor component of the model. This survey was conducted with a sample of 30 users from different countries across the world. In-between the context sensor and main evaluation surveys, a pilot study was conducted with a sample of 19 users with great experience in mobile application development and use from SAP Next Business and Technology, Africa. Finally an overall user evaluation study was conducted with a sample of 30 users from a remote area called Kgautswane in Limpopo Province, South Africa. The results obtained indicate that the context-aware model was able to determine accurate context information in real-time and effectively determine how much product information should be retrieved and how the information should be presented on a mobile device interface. Two main contributions emerged from the research, first the research contributed to the field of mobile Human Computer Interaction. During the research, techniques of evaluating and improving usability of mobile applications were demonstrated. Secondly, the research made a significant contribution to the upcoming field of context-aware computing. The research brought clarity with regard to context-aware computing which is lacking in existing, current research despite the field’s proven impact of improving usability of applications. Researchers can utilise contributions made in this research to develop further techniques and usable context-aware solutions.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Ntawanga, Felix Fred
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Context-aware computing , Online information services
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10495 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020768
- Description: Online information access on mobile devices is increasing as a result of the growth in the use of Internet-enabled handheld (or pocket-size) devices. The combined influence of recent enabling technologies such as Web 2.0, mobile app stores and improved wireless networks have driven the increase in online applications that allow users to access various types of information on mobile devices regardless of time and location. Examples of such applications (usually shortened to app) include: social media, such as FacebookTM App and TwitterTM App, banking applications such as (Standard Bank South Africa)TM Mobile Banking App and First National Bank (FNB) BankingTM App, and news application such as news 24TM App and BBCTM News App. Online businesses involved in buying, selling and business transaction processing activities via the Internet have exploited the opportunity to extend electronic commerce (e-commerce) initiatives into mobile commerce (m-commerce). Online businesses that interact with end user customers implement business to consumer (B2C) m-commerce applications that enable customers to access and browse product catalogue information on mobile devices, anytime, anywhere. Customers accessing electronic product catalogue information on a mobile device face a number of challenges such as a long list of products presented on a small screen and a longer information download time. These challenges mainly originate from the limiting and dynamic nature of the mobile apps operating environment, for example, dynamic location, bandwidth fluctuations and, diverse and limited device features, collectively referred to as context. The goal of this research was to design and implement a context-aware model that can be incorporated into an m-commerce application in order to improve the presentation of product catalogue information on m-commerce storefronts. The motivation for selecting product catalogue is prompted by literature which indicates that improved presentation of information in m-commerce (and e-commerce) applications has a positive impact on usability of the websites. Usable m-commerce (and e-commerce) websites improve efficiency in consumer behaviour that impacts sales, profits and business growth. The context-aware model aimed at collecting context information within the user environment and utilising it to determine optimal retrieval and presentation of product catalogue in m-commerce. An integrated logical context sensor and Mathematical algorithms were implemented in the context-aware model. The integrated logical context sensor was responsible for the collection of different types of predetermined context information such as device specification or capabilities, connection bandwidth, location and time of the day as well as the user profile. The algorithms transformed the collected context information into usable formats and enabled optimal retrieval and presentation of product catalogue data on a specific mobile device. Open-source implementation tools were utilised to implement components of the model including: HTML5, PhP, JavaScript and MySQL database. The context-aware model was incorporated into an existing m-commerce application. Two user evaluation studies were conducted during the course of the research. The first evaluation was to evaluate the accuracy of information collected by the context sensor component of the model. This survey was conducted with a sample of 30 users from different countries across the world. In-between the context sensor and main evaluation surveys, a pilot study was conducted with a sample of 19 users with great experience in mobile application development and use from SAP Next Business and Technology, Africa. Finally an overall user evaluation study was conducted with a sample of 30 users from a remote area called Kgautswane in Limpopo Province, South Africa. The results obtained indicate that the context-aware model was able to determine accurate context information in real-time and effectively determine how much product information should be retrieved and how the information should be presented on a mobile device interface. Two main contributions emerged from the research, first the research contributed to the field of mobile Human Computer Interaction. During the research, techniques of evaluating and improving usability of mobile applications were demonstrated. Secondly, the research made a significant contribution to the upcoming field of context-aware computing. The research brought clarity with regard to context-aware computing which is lacking in existing, current research despite the field’s proven impact of improving usability of applications. Researchers can utilise contributions made in this research to develop further techniques and usable context-aware solutions.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
An information services framework for commercial extension services
- Authors: Simpson, Antony Paul
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Agricultural extension work , Business networks , Information resources management
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/8575 , vital:26408
- Description: The first of the eight United Nations Millennium Development Goals for 2015 is to “Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger”. Achieving this goal would be aided by having an effective and productive agricultural community. Agricultural organisations assist producers to be more effective in their operation through Commercial Extension Services (CES). Through CES, producers are advised and educated about new agricultural practices, techniques and products. A key component of CES is the provision of relevant information to producers. The problem this research addressed was that producers experience difficulty in accessing the information they require in a timeous, relevant and personalised manner. No suitable framework was found for agricultural organisations to use when designing and implementing an Information Services Platform. The main research objective was to develop and evaluate an Information Services Framework (ISF) for organisations offering information as a CES. The research methodology used to achieve this objective was Design Science Research (DSR). DSR is an iterative methodology with three cycles, namely the relevance, the design and the rigor cycles. The relevance cycle was used to acquire the information required to inform the design cycle. The information was collected by using literature research and empirical studies. The first study, the Producer Information Requirements Survey (PIRS) sought to determine the information requirements of grain producers and was conducted by interviewing grain producers in the Swartland region of South Africa. The second study, the Internet and Mobile Device Usage Survey (IMDUS) investigated the use of the Internet and mobile devices amongst South African producers by means of a national on-line survey. The quantitative and qualitative results of the analysis were used during the design phase to develop the ISF. The design phase of DSR process led to the creation of an ISF for providing Information as a Service (IaaS) in CES. The framework allows for information services to be provided in a manner and form customised to an individual producer’s preferences. The foundation of the framework is that information can be sourced from various sources, internal or external to the organisation and distributed to producers by using a unified platform. During the research, an agricultural organisation, BKB GrainCo used the proposed ISF to develop an Information Services Platform (ISP) to provide information to its producers. BKB GrainCo’s development process included two evaluations. The first evaluation, the Information Preferences Prototype Survey, was intended to test a key component of the framework, the nformation Preferences Profile. The Information Preferences Profile was conceptualized following the PIRS. In the PIRS it was determined that individual producers would prefer to specify what information they would receive, when they required it and have it delivered by using a medium of their choice. The second evaluation of the design phase was a Usability Study. The Usability Study was intended to test the functionality of the system across various technologies. The rigor cycle, following the implementation of BKB GrainCo’s ISP, contained the main evaluation, the Information Services Platform Evaluation. The evaluation was used to test the impact of BKB GrainCo’s ISP on perception of received service. The evaluation used a standardised version of the standardised SERVQUAL instrument specifically adapted in this research to measure the provision of IaaS. The results obtained during the evaluation indicated that the BKB GrainCo’s Information Services Platform was found to be valued by producers and improved the communication services of agricultural organisations. It was inferred from the successful implementation of BKB GrainCo’s ISP and the positive response from producers, after the evaluations, that the developed ISF was suitable for an agricultural organisation to provide CES. The theoretical contributions included underpinning the concept of CES in terms of stakeholder theory. Its underpinning provides justification for agricultural organisations to improve CES – including the provision of information. A second theoretical contribution was the extension of SERVQUAL as an IS theory by developing and validating a dimension designed to test the provision of IaaS. Providing producers with accurate and reliable personalised information has the capacity to improve producers’ ability to make informed decisions. Informed decision making will contribute to having an effective and productive agricultural community; resulting in improvement of agricultural output and contributing to food security and job creation. Improved agricultural output, better food security and job creation are aspects which will contribute toward the attainment of the first of eight United Nations Millennium Development Goals for 2015, which is to “Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger”.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Simpson, Antony Paul
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Agricultural extension work , Business networks , Information resources management
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/8575 , vital:26408
- Description: The first of the eight United Nations Millennium Development Goals for 2015 is to “Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger”. Achieving this goal would be aided by having an effective and productive agricultural community. Agricultural organisations assist producers to be more effective in their operation through Commercial Extension Services (CES). Through CES, producers are advised and educated about new agricultural practices, techniques and products. A key component of CES is the provision of relevant information to producers. The problem this research addressed was that producers experience difficulty in accessing the information they require in a timeous, relevant and personalised manner. No suitable framework was found for agricultural organisations to use when designing and implementing an Information Services Platform. The main research objective was to develop and evaluate an Information Services Framework (ISF) for organisations offering information as a CES. The research methodology used to achieve this objective was Design Science Research (DSR). DSR is an iterative methodology with three cycles, namely the relevance, the design and the rigor cycles. The relevance cycle was used to acquire the information required to inform the design cycle. The information was collected by using literature research and empirical studies. The first study, the Producer Information Requirements Survey (PIRS) sought to determine the information requirements of grain producers and was conducted by interviewing grain producers in the Swartland region of South Africa. The second study, the Internet and Mobile Device Usage Survey (IMDUS) investigated the use of the Internet and mobile devices amongst South African producers by means of a national on-line survey. The quantitative and qualitative results of the analysis were used during the design phase to develop the ISF. The design phase of DSR process led to the creation of an ISF for providing Information as a Service (IaaS) in CES. The framework allows for information services to be provided in a manner and form customised to an individual producer’s preferences. The foundation of the framework is that information can be sourced from various sources, internal or external to the organisation and distributed to producers by using a unified platform. During the research, an agricultural organisation, BKB GrainCo used the proposed ISF to develop an Information Services Platform (ISP) to provide information to its producers. BKB GrainCo’s development process included two evaluations. The first evaluation, the Information Preferences Prototype Survey, was intended to test a key component of the framework, the nformation Preferences Profile. The Information Preferences Profile was conceptualized following the PIRS. In the PIRS it was determined that individual producers would prefer to specify what information they would receive, when they required it and have it delivered by using a medium of their choice. The second evaluation of the design phase was a Usability Study. The Usability Study was intended to test the functionality of the system across various technologies. The rigor cycle, following the implementation of BKB GrainCo’s ISP, contained the main evaluation, the Information Services Platform Evaluation. The evaluation was used to test the impact of BKB GrainCo’s ISP on perception of received service. The evaluation used a standardised version of the standardised SERVQUAL instrument specifically adapted in this research to measure the provision of IaaS. The results obtained during the evaluation indicated that the BKB GrainCo’s Information Services Platform was found to be valued by producers and improved the communication services of agricultural organisations. It was inferred from the successful implementation of BKB GrainCo’s ISP and the positive response from producers, after the evaluations, that the developed ISF was suitable for an agricultural organisation to provide CES. The theoretical contributions included underpinning the concept of CES in terms of stakeholder theory. Its underpinning provides justification for agricultural organisations to improve CES – including the provision of information. A second theoretical contribution was the extension of SERVQUAL as an IS theory by developing and validating a dimension designed to test the provision of IaaS. Providing producers with accurate and reliable personalised information has the capacity to improve producers’ ability to make informed decisions. Informed decision making will contribute to having an effective and productive agricultural community; resulting in improvement of agricultural output and contributing to food security and job creation. Improved agricultural output, better food security and job creation are aspects which will contribute toward the attainment of the first of eight United Nations Millennium Development Goals for 2015, which is to “Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger”.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Efficacy of two medical plant extracts and metformin in the prevention of diet induced fatty liver
- Tshidino, Shonisani Cathphonia
- Authors: Tshidino, Shonisani Cathphonia
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Plant Extracts -- Therapeutic use , Medicinal plants
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/9066 , vital:26461
- Description: Non‐alcoholic fatty liver diseases (NAFLD) is manifested in the absent of alcohol abuse. This disease is the major cause of liver failure and death among adults and children worldwide, including South Africa. Its increasing prevalence urges the need of therapeutic intervention. The main objectives of this study were to investigate the following: (1) The effect of 38.9% high fat diet (HFD)‐induced insulin resistance and fatty liver in male Wistar rats, (2) The efficacy of aqueous extracts from Sutherlandia frutescens leaves and Prunus africana bark and metformin in the treatment of HFDinduced insulin resistance and fatty liver. Male Wistar rats were fed on HFD (the HF group) or normal rat chow (the LF group) for 12 weeks. Even though the HFD‐fed rats had developed insulin resistance by week 12, fatty liver developed by week 16. After week 12, the HF group was divided into four groups of 6‐7 rats each and three of those groups were gavaged with either 0.125 mg P. africana extract/kg bwt/day (the HF+Pa group) or 50 mg S. frutescens extract kg bwt/day (the HF+Sf group) or 16 mg metformin/ kg bwt/day (HF+Met group), while kept on the same diet for an additional of 4 weeks, to investigate whether two medicinal plant extracts and metformin can prevent HFD to induce fatty liver or not. After 16 weeks, the liver histological images revealed that the HF group developed fatty liver in the form of both microsteatosis and macrosteatosis. Fatty liver was confirmed by significant increased liver total lipid (TL) and activities of glucose‐6‐phosphate dehydrogenase (cG6PD) and xanthine oxidase (XO), mitochondrial NADH oxidase (mNOX) and by a decrease (P<0.05) in the activities of the homogenate superoxide dismutase (hSOD) and mitochondrial complex II in the HF group, when compared to the LF group. Since the activities of mCS and cACL enzymes were not changed in the HF group, hence increased cG6PD activity in the HF group indicates that there was increased NADPH demand for lipid accumulation from activated NEFAs taken up by the liver from circulation and for maintenance of the NADPH‐dependent antioxidants and oxidants, respectively. The obtained data also show that mitochondria of the HFD‐fed rats adapted to an increase in energy availability, thereby compensation through decreasing complex II activity, to allow electron flux from β‐oxidation to respiratory chain in the HF group. Liver TL content was significantly decreased in the rats treated with metformin and P. africana extract, but not in the rats treated with S. frutescens when compared to the HF group (P < 0.05). However, the TL content remained >5% per liver weight in all treated groups. The present study demonstrates that these two plant extracts and metformin have different glucogenic and lipogenic effects from that presented by HFD alone when compared to the LFD alone. In conclusion, metformin and P. africana extract can attenuate HFD‐induced fatty liver without changing the dietary habits. Hence S. frutescens extract is less effective in the prevention of HFD‐induced fatty liver. A change in the dietary habits is recommended to be considered during the use of these three remedies in the treatment of HFD‐induced insulin resistance and fatty liver. All three treatments enhanced antioxidant capacity, and may improve insulin resistance and fatty liver mediated by the present HFD through different mechanism of actions in the liver.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Tshidino, Shonisani Cathphonia
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Plant Extracts -- Therapeutic use , Medicinal plants
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/9066 , vital:26461
- Description: Non‐alcoholic fatty liver diseases (NAFLD) is manifested in the absent of alcohol abuse. This disease is the major cause of liver failure and death among adults and children worldwide, including South Africa. Its increasing prevalence urges the need of therapeutic intervention. The main objectives of this study were to investigate the following: (1) The effect of 38.9% high fat diet (HFD)‐induced insulin resistance and fatty liver in male Wistar rats, (2) The efficacy of aqueous extracts from Sutherlandia frutescens leaves and Prunus africana bark and metformin in the treatment of HFDinduced insulin resistance and fatty liver. Male Wistar rats were fed on HFD (the HF group) or normal rat chow (the LF group) for 12 weeks. Even though the HFD‐fed rats had developed insulin resistance by week 12, fatty liver developed by week 16. After week 12, the HF group was divided into four groups of 6‐7 rats each and three of those groups were gavaged with either 0.125 mg P. africana extract/kg bwt/day (the HF+Pa group) or 50 mg S. frutescens extract kg bwt/day (the HF+Sf group) or 16 mg metformin/ kg bwt/day (HF+Met group), while kept on the same diet for an additional of 4 weeks, to investigate whether two medicinal plant extracts and metformin can prevent HFD to induce fatty liver or not. After 16 weeks, the liver histological images revealed that the HF group developed fatty liver in the form of both microsteatosis and macrosteatosis. Fatty liver was confirmed by significant increased liver total lipid (TL) and activities of glucose‐6‐phosphate dehydrogenase (cG6PD) and xanthine oxidase (XO), mitochondrial NADH oxidase (mNOX) and by a decrease (P<0.05) in the activities of the homogenate superoxide dismutase (hSOD) and mitochondrial complex II in the HF group, when compared to the LF group. Since the activities of mCS and cACL enzymes were not changed in the HF group, hence increased cG6PD activity in the HF group indicates that there was increased NADPH demand for lipid accumulation from activated NEFAs taken up by the liver from circulation and for maintenance of the NADPH‐dependent antioxidants and oxidants, respectively. The obtained data also show that mitochondria of the HFD‐fed rats adapted to an increase in energy availability, thereby compensation through decreasing complex II activity, to allow electron flux from β‐oxidation to respiratory chain in the HF group. Liver TL content was significantly decreased in the rats treated with metformin and P. africana extract, but not in the rats treated with S. frutescens when compared to the HF group (P < 0.05). However, the TL content remained >5% per liver weight in all treated groups. The present study demonstrates that these two plant extracts and metformin have different glucogenic and lipogenic effects from that presented by HFD alone when compared to the LFD alone. In conclusion, metformin and P. africana extract can attenuate HFD‐induced fatty liver without changing the dietary habits. Hence S. frutescens extract is less effective in the prevention of HFD‐induced fatty liver. A change in the dietary habits is recommended to be considered during the use of these three remedies in the treatment of HFD‐induced insulin resistance and fatty liver. All three treatments enhanced antioxidant capacity, and may improve insulin resistance and fatty liver mediated by the present HFD through different mechanism of actions in the liver.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Comparison of the population growth potential of South African loggerhead (Caretta caretta) and leatherback (Dermochelys coriacea) sea turtles
- Authors: Tucek, Jenny Bianka
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Sea turtles -- Population viability analysis -- South Africa , Migratory animals -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/5032 , vital:20793
- Description: A beach conservation programme protecting nesting loggerhead (Caretta caretta) and leatherback (Dermochelys coriacea) sea turtles in South Africa was started in 1963. As initial numbers of nesting females were low for both species (107 loggerheads and 24 leatherbacks) it was proposed that the protection of eggs, hatchlings and nesting females along the nesting beach would induce population growth and prohibit local extinction. Today, 50 years later, the loggerhead population exceeds 650 females per annum, whereas the leatherback population counts about 65 nesting females per year. The trend for leatherback turtles is that the population has been stable for about 30 years whereas loggerheads are increasing exponentially. Thus, this thesis investigated several life-history traits to explain the differing responses to the ongoing beach conservation programme. Reproductive output and success were assessed for both species; it was hypothesised that environmental conditions are sub-optimal for leatherback turtles to reproduce successfully. It was ascertained that nesting loggerhead females deposit larger clutches than leatherbacks (112 ± SD 20 eggs and 100 ± SD 23 eggs, respectively), but that annual reproductive output per individual leatherback female exceeds that of loggerhead turtles (±700 eggs and ±448 eggs, respectively) because they exhibit a higher intra-seasonal nesting frequency (leatherbacks n = 7 and loggerheads n = 4 from Nel et al. 2013). Emergence success (i.e. the percentage of hatchlings produced) per nest was similar for both species (loggerhead 73.6 ± SD 27.68 % and leatherback turtles 73.8 ± SD 22.70 %), but as loggerhead turtles nest in greater numbers, i.e. producing more hatchlings per year, the absolute population growth potential favours the loggerhead turtle. The second factor investigated was sex ratio because sea turtles display temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD) where extreme incubation temperatures can skew the sex ratio (i.e. feminising or masculinising a clutch). It was suspected that leatherback turtles are male-biased as this is the southern-most rookery (for both species). Further, leatherback nests are generally closer to the high tide mark, which might induce a cooling effect. Standard histological techniques were applied to sex hatchlings and a generalized linear model (GLM) was used to approximate annual sex ratio. Loggerhead sex ratio (2009 - 2011) was estimated at 86.9 ± SE 0.35 % female-biased; however, sufficient replication for the leatherback population was only obtained for season 2010, which indicated a 97.1 % (95 % CI 93.3 - 98.7) female bias. Both species are, thus, highly female-biased, and current sex ratio for leatherback turtles is not prohibiting population growth. Current sex ratios, however, are not necessarily indicative of sex ratios in the past which would have induced present population growth. Thus, to account for present population growth profiles, sex ratios from the past needed to be ascertained. Annual sex ratios (1997 - 2011) were modelled from historical air and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) but no significant change over time was obtained for either loggerhead or leatherback turtles (linear regression; p ≥ 0.45). The average sex ratio over this 15-year period for the South African loggerhead turtle was approximated at 77.1 ± SE 3.36 % female-biased, whereas leatherbacks exhibited a 99.5 ± SE 0.24 % female bias. Re-analysing data from the mid-80s by Maxwell et al. (1988) also indicated a 77.4 % female bias for the South African loggerhead population. It is, therefore, highly likely that sex ratios of the South African loggerhead and leatherback sea turtle populations have been stable for at least three decades and are not accountable for the differing population growth profiles as they are displayed today. Another possibility that could explain the opposed population growth profiles is the time taken for animals to replace themselves, i.e. age at maturity. It was suspected that age at maturity for the South African loggerhead turtle is comparable with that for leatherbacks. Using data from a 30-year mutilation tagging experiment (i.e. notching), age at first reproduction for South African loggerhead females was estimated. Results ranged broadly but a mean of 36.2 ± SD 7.71 years was obtained using a Gaussian distribution. Age at reproduction of the South African leatherback turtle was not determined but the literature suggests a much younger age of 13.3 - 26.8 years (Zug & Parham 1996, Dutton et al. 2005, Avens et al. 2009, Jones et al. 2011). Therefore, population growth would favour leatherback turtles as they exhibit a much shorter generation time. Finally, it was concluded that all life-history parameters investigated favour leatherback turtles, yet loggerheads are displaying population growth. However, as there were no obvious constraints to population growth on the nesting beach, it is suspected that population growth of the South African leatherback turtle is either unobserved (due to inadequate monitoring not capturing sufficient numbers of nesting events to establish a trend) or that population growth is prohibited by some offshore factor such as industrial fisheries (or some other driver not yet identified). Monitoring should, thus, be expanded and offshore mortality monitored as the leatherback population nesting in South Africa is still critically endangered with nesting numbers dangerously low.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Tucek, Jenny Bianka
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Sea turtles -- Population viability analysis -- South Africa , Migratory animals -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , DPhil
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/5032 , vital:20793
- Description: A beach conservation programme protecting nesting loggerhead (Caretta caretta) and leatherback (Dermochelys coriacea) sea turtles in South Africa was started in 1963. As initial numbers of nesting females were low for both species (107 loggerheads and 24 leatherbacks) it was proposed that the protection of eggs, hatchlings and nesting females along the nesting beach would induce population growth and prohibit local extinction. Today, 50 years later, the loggerhead population exceeds 650 females per annum, whereas the leatherback population counts about 65 nesting females per year. The trend for leatherback turtles is that the population has been stable for about 30 years whereas loggerheads are increasing exponentially. Thus, this thesis investigated several life-history traits to explain the differing responses to the ongoing beach conservation programme. Reproductive output and success were assessed for both species; it was hypothesised that environmental conditions are sub-optimal for leatherback turtles to reproduce successfully. It was ascertained that nesting loggerhead females deposit larger clutches than leatherbacks (112 ± SD 20 eggs and 100 ± SD 23 eggs, respectively), but that annual reproductive output per individual leatherback female exceeds that of loggerhead turtles (±700 eggs and ±448 eggs, respectively) because they exhibit a higher intra-seasonal nesting frequency (leatherbacks n = 7 and loggerheads n = 4 from Nel et al. 2013). Emergence success (i.e. the percentage of hatchlings produced) per nest was similar for both species (loggerhead 73.6 ± SD 27.68 % and leatherback turtles 73.8 ± SD 22.70 %), but as loggerhead turtles nest in greater numbers, i.e. producing more hatchlings per year, the absolute population growth potential favours the loggerhead turtle. The second factor investigated was sex ratio because sea turtles display temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD) where extreme incubation temperatures can skew the sex ratio (i.e. feminising or masculinising a clutch). It was suspected that leatherback turtles are male-biased as this is the southern-most rookery (for both species). Further, leatherback nests are generally closer to the high tide mark, which might induce a cooling effect. Standard histological techniques were applied to sex hatchlings and a generalized linear model (GLM) was used to approximate annual sex ratio. Loggerhead sex ratio (2009 - 2011) was estimated at 86.9 ± SE 0.35 % female-biased; however, sufficient replication for the leatherback population was only obtained for season 2010, which indicated a 97.1 % (95 % CI 93.3 - 98.7) female bias. Both species are, thus, highly female-biased, and current sex ratio for leatherback turtles is not prohibiting population growth. Current sex ratios, however, are not necessarily indicative of sex ratios in the past which would have induced present population growth. Thus, to account for present population growth profiles, sex ratios from the past needed to be ascertained. Annual sex ratios (1997 - 2011) were modelled from historical air and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) but no significant change over time was obtained for either loggerhead or leatherback turtles (linear regression; p ≥ 0.45). The average sex ratio over this 15-year period for the South African loggerhead turtle was approximated at 77.1 ± SE 3.36 % female-biased, whereas leatherbacks exhibited a 99.5 ± SE 0.24 % female bias. Re-analysing data from the mid-80s by Maxwell et al. (1988) also indicated a 77.4 % female bias for the South African loggerhead population. It is, therefore, highly likely that sex ratios of the South African loggerhead and leatherback sea turtle populations have been stable for at least three decades and are not accountable for the differing population growth profiles as they are displayed today. Another possibility that could explain the opposed population growth profiles is the time taken for animals to replace themselves, i.e. age at maturity. It was suspected that age at maturity for the South African loggerhead turtle is comparable with that for leatherbacks. Using data from a 30-year mutilation tagging experiment (i.e. notching), age at first reproduction for South African loggerhead females was estimated. Results ranged broadly but a mean of 36.2 ± SD 7.71 years was obtained using a Gaussian distribution. Age at reproduction of the South African leatherback turtle was not determined but the literature suggests a much younger age of 13.3 - 26.8 years (Zug & Parham 1996, Dutton et al. 2005, Avens et al. 2009, Jones et al. 2011). Therefore, population growth would favour leatherback turtles as they exhibit a much shorter generation time. Finally, it was concluded that all life-history parameters investigated favour leatherback turtles, yet loggerheads are displaying population growth. However, as there were no obvious constraints to population growth on the nesting beach, it is suspected that population growth of the South African leatherback turtle is either unobserved (due to inadequate monitoring not capturing sufficient numbers of nesting events to establish a trend) or that population growth is prohibited by some offshore factor such as industrial fisheries (or some other driver not yet identified). Monitoring should, thus, be expanded and offshore mortality monitored as the leatherback population nesting in South Africa is still critically endangered with nesting numbers dangerously low.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
In vitro induction of cell death pathways by artemisia afra extract and isolation of an active compound, isoalantolactone
- Authors: Venables, Luanne
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Medicinal plants -- South Africa , Cell death
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10363 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021087
- Description: Artemisia afra is one of the oldest, most well known and widely used traditional medicinal plants in South Africa. It is used to treat many different medical conditions, particularly respiratory and inflammatory ailments. There is no reported evidence of its use for the treatment of cancer but due to its reported cytotoxicity, an investigation of the mode of cell death induced by an ethanol A. afra extract using two cancer cell lines was done. IC50 values of 18.21 and 31.88 μg/mL of ethanol extracts were determined against U937 and HeLa cancer cells, respectively. An IC50 value of the aqueous extract was greater than 250 μg/mL. The ethanol extract was not cytotoxic against confluent control cell lines, Chang Liver and Vero cells. The effect of the cytotoxic ethanol A. afra extract on U937 and HeLa cells and their progression through the cell cycle, apoptosis and mitochondrial membrane potential was investigated. After 12 hours of treatment with A. afra a delay in G2/M phase of the cell cycle was evident. Apoptosis was confirmed using the TUNEL assay for DNA fragmentation, as well as fluorescent staining with annexin V-FITC. Apoptosis was evident with the positive control and A. afra treatment at 24 and 48 hours. JC-1 staining showed a decrease in mitochondrial membrane potential at 24 hours. It was deduced that A. afra ethanol extract induces caspase-dependent apoptosis in a mitochondrial dependent manner. Plants harbour many compounds that are not only useful to the plants but also to mankind. Many metabolites have been isolated from A. afra and their biological activity characterised. Due to observed apoptosis induction, isolation of cytotoxic compounds was done and a new sesquiterpene lactone from A. afra was isolated. Structural elucidation of the compound was done by IR, 1D and 2D NMR, CD and mass spectrometry and it was identified as isoalantolactone. HeLa cancer cells were treated with isoalantolactone and cytotoxicity was exhibited in a dose-dependent manner. A low IC50 value of 8.15 ± 1.16 μM was achieved. This study showed that isoalantolactone is partly responsible for the observed A. afra cytotoxicity. Due to the evidence of G2/M arrest, the anti-mitotic potential and the possible onset of mitotic catastrophe by A. afra and isoalantolactone was investigated. It was evident from various flow cytometric analysis of cyclin B1 and phospho-H3 and confocal microscopy that A. afra does possess anti-mitotic activity by causing hyperpolymerisation of tubulin and cells progress into the mitotic phase where M arrest is experienced. The anti-inflammatory activity of sesquiterpene lactones is well documented; however, the anti-inflammatory activity of A. afra is not. Here, it is reported that the production of NO and COX-2 protein levels in RAW 264.7 cells decrease in the presence of A. afra and isoalantolactone after stimulation with LPS. The activated NF-κB subunit, p65 was also investigated. The results suggest that A. afra and isoalantolactone inhibit p65 activation as a decrease in the activated subunit was evident. Thus, the results indicate that exposure to A. afra and isoalantolactone induces an anti-inflammatory response. In conclusion, this study shows, for the first time, the mechanism of induced apoptosis, the anti-mitotic and anti-inflammatory activity of A. afra and its isolated compound, isoalantolactone. It also proves that although extensive research may have been done on a particular plant, as with A. afra, more can be discovered leading to the identification of new compounds and integration of signalling pathways that can be exploited for the treatment of various diseases and ailments.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Venables, Luanne
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Medicinal plants -- South Africa , Cell death
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10363 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021087
- Description: Artemisia afra is one of the oldest, most well known and widely used traditional medicinal plants in South Africa. It is used to treat many different medical conditions, particularly respiratory and inflammatory ailments. There is no reported evidence of its use for the treatment of cancer but due to its reported cytotoxicity, an investigation of the mode of cell death induced by an ethanol A. afra extract using two cancer cell lines was done. IC50 values of 18.21 and 31.88 μg/mL of ethanol extracts were determined against U937 and HeLa cancer cells, respectively. An IC50 value of the aqueous extract was greater than 250 μg/mL. The ethanol extract was not cytotoxic against confluent control cell lines, Chang Liver and Vero cells. The effect of the cytotoxic ethanol A. afra extract on U937 and HeLa cells and their progression through the cell cycle, apoptosis and mitochondrial membrane potential was investigated. After 12 hours of treatment with A. afra a delay in G2/M phase of the cell cycle was evident. Apoptosis was confirmed using the TUNEL assay for DNA fragmentation, as well as fluorescent staining with annexin V-FITC. Apoptosis was evident with the positive control and A. afra treatment at 24 and 48 hours. JC-1 staining showed a decrease in mitochondrial membrane potential at 24 hours. It was deduced that A. afra ethanol extract induces caspase-dependent apoptosis in a mitochondrial dependent manner. Plants harbour many compounds that are not only useful to the plants but also to mankind. Many metabolites have been isolated from A. afra and their biological activity characterised. Due to observed apoptosis induction, isolation of cytotoxic compounds was done and a new sesquiterpene lactone from A. afra was isolated. Structural elucidation of the compound was done by IR, 1D and 2D NMR, CD and mass spectrometry and it was identified as isoalantolactone. HeLa cancer cells were treated with isoalantolactone and cytotoxicity was exhibited in a dose-dependent manner. A low IC50 value of 8.15 ± 1.16 μM was achieved. This study showed that isoalantolactone is partly responsible for the observed A. afra cytotoxicity. Due to the evidence of G2/M arrest, the anti-mitotic potential and the possible onset of mitotic catastrophe by A. afra and isoalantolactone was investigated. It was evident from various flow cytometric analysis of cyclin B1 and phospho-H3 and confocal microscopy that A. afra does possess anti-mitotic activity by causing hyperpolymerisation of tubulin and cells progress into the mitotic phase where M arrest is experienced. The anti-inflammatory activity of sesquiterpene lactones is well documented; however, the anti-inflammatory activity of A. afra is not. Here, it is reported that the production of NO and COX-2 protein levels in RAW 264.7 cells decrease in the presence of A. afra and isoalantolactone after stimulation with LPS. The activated NF-κB subunit, p65 was also investigated. The results suggest that A. afra and isoalantolactone inhibit p65 activation as a decrease in the activated subunit was evident. Thus, the results indicate that exposure to A. afra and isoalantolactone induces an anti-inflammatory response. In conclusion, this study shows, for the first time, the mechanism of induced apoptosis, the anti-mitotic and anti-inflammatory activity of A. afra and its isolated compound, isoalantolactone. It also proves that although extensive research may have been done on a particular plant, as with A. afra, more can be discovered leading to the identification of new compounds and integration of signalling pathways that can be exploited for the treatment of various diseases and ailments.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
The consolidation of forecests with regression models
- Venter, Daniel Jacobus Lodewyk
- Authors: Venter, Daniel Jacobus Lodewyk
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Regression analysis -- Mathematical models , Forecasting -- Mathematical models
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10582 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020964
- Description: The primary objective of this study was to develop a dashboard for the consolidation of multiple forecasts utilising a range of multiple linear regression models. The term dashboard is used to describe with a single word the characteristics of the forecasts consolidation application that was developed to provide the required functionalities via a graphical user interface structured as a series of interlinked screens. Microsoft Excel© was used as the platform to develop the dashboard named ConFoRM (acronym for Consolidate Forecasts with Regression Models). The major steps of the consolidation process incorporated in ConFoRM are: 1. Input historical data. Select appropriate analysis and holdout samples. 3. Specify regression models to be considered as candidates for the final model to be used for the consolidation of forecasts. 4. Perform regression analysis and holdout analysis for each of the models specified in step 3. 5. Perform post-holdout testing to assess the performance of the model with best holdout validation results on out-of-sample data. 6. Consolidate forecasts. Two data transformations are available: the removal of growth and time-periods effect from the time series; a translation of the time series by subtracting ̅i, the mean of all the forecasts for data record i, from the variable being predicted and its related forecasts for each data record I. The pre-defined regression models available for ordinary least square linear regression models (LRM) are: a. A set of k simple LRM’s, one for each of the k forecasts; b. A multiple LRM that includes all the forecasts: c. A multiple LRM that includes all the forecasts and as many of the first-order interactions between the input forecasts as allowed by the sample size and the maximum number of predictors provided by the dashboard with the interactions included in the model to be those with the highest individual correlation with the variable being predicted; d. A multiple LRM that includes as many of the forecasts and first-order interactions between the input forecasts as allowed by the sample size and the maximum number of predictors provided by the dashboard: with the forecasts and interactions included in the model to be those with the highest individual correlation with the variable being predicted; e. A simple LRM with the predictor variable being the mean of the forecasts: f. A set of simple LRM’s with the predictor variable in each case being the weighted mean of the forecasts with different formulas for the weights Also available is an ad hoc user specified model in terms of the forecasts and the predictor variables generated by the dashboard for the pre-defined models. Provision is made in the regression analysis for both of forward entry and backward removal regression. Weighted least squares (WLS) regression can be performed optionally based on the age of forecasts with smaller weight for older forecasts.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Venter, Daniel Jacobus Lodewyk
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Regression analysis -- Mathematical models , Forecasting -- Mathematical models
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10582 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020964
- Description: The primary objective of this study was to develop a dashboard for the consolidation of multiple forecasts utilising a range of multiple linear regression models. The term dashboard is used to describe with a single word the characteristics of the forecasts consolidation application that was developed to provide the required functionalities via a graphical user interface structured as a series of interlinked screens. Microsoft Excel© was used as the platform to develop the dashboard named ConFoRM (acronym for Consolidate Forecasts with Regression Models). The major steps of the consolidation process incorporated in ConFoRM are: 1. Input historical data. Select appropriate analysis and holdout samples. 3. Specify regression models to be considered as candidates for the final model to be used for the consolidation of forecasts. 4. Perform regression analysis and holdout analysis for each of the models specified in step 3. 5. Perform post-holdout testing to assess the performance of the model with best holdout validation results on out-of-sample data. 6. Consolidate forecasts. Two data transformations are available: the removal of growth and time-periods effect from the time series; a translation of the time series by subtracting ̅i, the mean of all the forecasts for data record i, from the variable being predicted and its related forecasts for each data record I. The pre-defined regression models available for ordinary least square linear regression models (LRM) are: a. A set of k simple LRM’s, one for each of the k forecasts; b. A multiple LRM that includes all the forecasts: c. A multiple LRM that includes all the forecasts and as many of the first-order interactions between the input forecasts as allowed by the sample size and the maximum number of predictors provided by the dashboard with the interactions included in the model to be those with the highest individual correlation with the variable being predicted; d. A multiple LRM that includes as many of the forecasts and first-order interactions between the input forecasts as allowed by the sample size and the maximum number of predictors provided by the dashboard: with the forecasts and interactions included in the model to be those with the highest individual correlation with the variable being predicted; e. A simple LRM with the predictor variable being the mean of the forecasts: f. A set of simple LRM’s with the predictor variable in each case being the weighted mean of the forecasts with different formulas for the weights Also available is an ad hoc user specified model in terms of the forecasts and the predictor variables generated by the dashboard for the pre-defined models. Provision is made in the regression analysis for both of forward entry and backward removal regression. Weighted least squares (WLS) regression can be performed optionally based on the age of forecasts with smaller weight for older forecasts.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
Biofuel, land-use tradeoffs and livelihoods in Southern Africa
- Authors: Von Maltitz, Graham Paul
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Biomass energy -- Climatic factors -- Africa, Southern , Land use -- Environmental aspects , Jatropha -- Africa, Southern
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10643 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021005
- Description: The rapid expansion of biofuel projects in southern Africa creates an opportune issue against which to examine land-use tradeoffs within the areas of customary land tenure. For this an ecosystems services approach is used. Jatropha curcas (L), a perennial oilseed plant which has been the key focus of most of the region’s biofuel expansion to date is used as the focus biofuel crop for which case study data were obtained from Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and South Africa. Despite the initial enthusiasm for jatropha, most projects have proven less successful than hoped, and many have collapsed. A few are, however, still showing signs of possible success and it is two of these that form the basis of the case studies. Hugely complex tradeoffs are involved when considering biofuel as a land-use option for communal areas. They range from global impacts such as biodiversity and global climate forcing, through national concerns of rural development, national food security and national fuel security, to local household concerns around improving livelihoods. Land that is converted to biofuel needs to be removed from some previous use, and in the southern African case it is typically woodlands and the multitude of services they provide, that suffer. The nature of the tradeoffs and the people affected change over the scale under consideration. For the local farmer it is only the local issues that are of concern, but national and global forces will change the policy environment and lead to new types of development such as biofuels. Change is inevitable, and in all developments there are likely to be both winners and losers. It is clear that the impacts arising from biofuel are situation dependent, and each community and location has unique social and environmental considerations that need to be taken into account. In the case of jatropha the final realised yield and the economic returns that this can generate, will be of critical importance and remain one of the main uncertainties. There are promising signs that under certain circumstances the balance of benefits from jatropha biofuel may be positive, but if implemented incorrectly or in the wrong place, there is extensive evidence of total project failure. It is clear that evidence-based data and assessment tools are needed to assist communities, developers and government departments to make sound decisions around biofuel (or other land-use based) development. A number of such tools are suggested in the thesis. Both the use of large-scale plantations or small-scale farmer centred projects have their advantages and disadvantages. It is probable that in the correct circumstances either can work. However, large-scale plantations can have huge negative social and environmental consequences if poorly implemented. Small-scale projects, though improving livelihoods, are unlikely to take the farmers out of poverty. Tradeoffs from any land-use change are inevitable. Empirical data on biofuel impacts on the environment and society are needed for the development of sound policy. A favourable policy environment can ensure that positive benefits from biofuel are obtained, whilst minimising negative impacts. To develop this policy means that southern African countries will have to clearly understand what they wish to achieve from biofuel, as well as having a clear understanding of impacts from biofuel implementation. Sound scientific knowledge needs to underpin this process. For instance governments may wish to increase the ratio of small-scale to large-scale plantation to increase the developmental benefits, ensure biofuel is used to promote national fuel security rather than being exported, or develop a medium-scale farming sector which can help move farmers out of poverty and assist in developing a market surplus of agricultural commodities. Analysing impacts from biofuel expansion is a complex and multi-dimensional problem and as such will require multi-criteria analysis tools to develop solutions. Global, national and local tradeoffs must all be considered. In addition a wide range of stakeholders are involved and participatory processes may be needed to capture their inputs. Tools to better analyse impacts, specifically at the local level are needed. These local results need to feed into national level economic assessments. The cost of biofuel introduction should be considered against the costs of not implementing biofuel, realising that doing nothing also has a cost and long-term impact. Third-party certification provides a useful tool for shifting costs of ensuring compliance with social and environmental legislation, from the state to biofuel companies. In addition ongoing monitoring and evaluation of existing projects is needed to learn from successes and failures, to identify unintended consequences, and to increase the resilience of projects, community livelihoods and the national economy. This will have to be supplemented with additional focused and ongoing research.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
- Authors: Von Maltitz, Graham Paul
- Date: 2014
- Subjects: Biomass energy -- Climatic factors -- Africa, Southern , Land use -- Environmental aspects , Jatropha -- Africa, Southern
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:10643 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021005
- Description: The rapid expansion of biofuel projects in southern Africa creates an opportune issue against which to examine land-use tradeoffs within the areas of customary land tenure. For this an ecosystems services approach is used. Jatropha curcas (L), a perennial oilseed plant which has been the key focus of most of the region’s biofuel expansion to date is used as the focus biofuel crop for which case study data were obtained from Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and South Africa. Despite the initial enthusiasm for jatropha, most projects have proven less successful than hoped, and many have collapsed. A few are, however, still showing signs of possible success and it is two of these that form the basis of the case studies. Hugely complex tradeoffs are involved when considering biofuel as a land-use option for communal areas. They range from global impacts such as biodiversity and global climate forcing, through national concerns of rural development, national food security and national fuel security, to local household concerns around improving livelihoods. Land that is converted to biofuel needs to be removed from some previous use, and in the southern African case it is typically woodlands and the multitude of services they provide, that suffer. The nature of the tradeoffs and the people affected change over the scale under consideration. For the local farmer it is only the local issues that are of concern, but national and global forces will change the policy environment and lead to new types of development such as biofuels. Change is inevitable, and in all developments there are likely to be both winners and losers. It is clear that the impacts arising from biofuel are situation dependent, and each community and location has unique social and environmental considerations that need to be taken into account. In the case of jatropha the final realised yield and the economic returns that this can generate, will be of critical importance and remain one of the main uncertainties. There are promising signs that under certain circumstances the balance of benefits from jatropha biofuel may be positive, but if implemented incorrectly or in the wrong place, there is extensive evidence of total project failure. It is clear that evidence-based data and assessment tools are needed to assist communities, developers and government departments to make sound decisions around biofuel (or other land-use based) development. A number of such tools are suggested in the thesis. Both the use of large-scale plantations or small-scale farmer centred projects have their advantages and disadvantages. It is probable that in the correct circumstances either can work. However, large-scale plantations can have huge negative social and environmental consequences if poorly implemented. Small-scale projects, though improving livelihoods, are unlikely to take the farmers out of poverty. Tradeoffs from any land-use change are inevitable. Empirical data on biofuel impacts on the environment and society are needed for the development of sound policy. A favourable policy environment can ensure that positive benefits from biofuel are obtained, whilst minimising negative impacts. To develop this policy means that southern African countries will have to clearly understand what they wish to achieve from biofuel, as well as having a clear understanding of impacts from biofuel implementation. Sound scientific knowledge needs to underpin this process. For instance governments may wish to increase the ratio of small-scale to large-scale plantation to increase the developmental benefits, ensure biofuel is used to promote national fuel security rather than being exported, or develop a medium-scale farming sector which can help move farmers out of poverty and assist in developing a market surplus of agricultural commodities. Analysing impacts from biofuel expansion is a complex and multi-dimensional problem and as such will require multi-criteria analysis tools to develop solutions. Global, national and local tradeoffs must all be considered. In addition a wide range of stakeholders are involved and participatory processes may be needed to capture their inputs. Tools to better analyse impacts, specifically at the local level are needed. These local results need to feed into national level economic assessments. The cost of biofuel introduction should be considered against the costs of not implementing biofuel, realising that doing nothing also has a cost and long-term impact. Third-party certification provides a useful tool for shifting costs of ensuring compliance with social and environmental legislation, from the state to biofuel companies. In addition ongoing monitoring and evaluation of existing projects is needed to learn from successes and failures, to identify unintended consequences, and to increase the resilience of projects, community livelihoods and the national economy. This will have to be supplemented with additional focused and ongoing research.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2014
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